مدرسة الاحتمالات

Braga v Arouca

البداية: 2026-04-12 17:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Braga 1–0 Arouca

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Braga (المضيف)

التنبؤ 65.36%1.53السعر العادل
EV -1.96%
الأفضلية -1.31%
Kelly -3.93%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
63.13%65.37%65.41%67.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.361.421.421.5073.53%70.30%70.42%66.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arouca (الضيف)

التنبؤ 13.75%7.27السعر العادل
EV +4.11%
الأفضلية +0.543%
Kelly +0.626%
النمو +0.026%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
12.58%13.77%13.69%16.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.806.787.007.5717.24%14.76%14.29%13.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 20.89%4.79السعر العادل
EV +0.266%
الأفضلية +0.055%
Kelly +0.070%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.15%20.86%20.90%23.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.434.454.8026.67%22.60%22.47%20.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 66.40%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.62%G +0.000%7.57I 13.21%NM 12.72%EV +4.11%E +0.543%K +0.626%G +0.026%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.88%EV -3.70%E -0.803%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 16:55
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +3.15%E +0.420%K +0.485%G +0.015%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.779%E -0.164%K -0.208%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 16:30
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV +3.15%E +0.420%K +0.485%G +0.015%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 16:53
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV +3.15%E +0.420%K +0.485%G +0.015%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 16:53
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.50%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.27I 13.76%NM 13.31%EV -0.012%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.19%EV -8.93%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 16:54
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.85%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.08%EV -0.287%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 16:54
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 65.85%EV -6.54%E -4.57%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.99%EV -0.287%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.16%EV -7.05%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 16:54
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV -0.975%E -0.135%K -0.157%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -3.91%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 16:30
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 16:55
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 16:53
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 16:53
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 16:51
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 16:53
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -1.82%E -0.388%K -0.493%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 16:30
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.09%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 16:54
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.09%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 16:55
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -7.85%E -5.56%K -19.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.09%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 16:51
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -7.85%E -5.56%K -19.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.09%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 16:47
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 16:30
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 16:30
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.09%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 16:53
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.09%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 16:52
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.09%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 16:53
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.09%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 16:53
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.09%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 16:51
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.09%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 16:15
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -11.11%E -8.17%K -30.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -3.91%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 16:54
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.03%EV -9.81%E -7.11%K -25.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.95%EV -9.13%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 16:53
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.03%EV -9.81%E -7.11%K -25.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.95%EV -9.13%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 16:51
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 66.20%EV -11.11%E -8.17%K -30.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -3.73%E -0.532%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -10.18%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 16:53
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.40%EV -7.85%E -5.56%K -19.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -7.16%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -14.36%E -3.50%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 16:55
GTbets1.49I 67.11%NM 63.54%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.34%EV -9.23%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.12%EV -10.60%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 16:01
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -6.54%E -4.57%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.99%EV -9.23%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -10.18%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 16:54
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -6.54%E -4.57%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.99%EV -9.23%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -10.18%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 16:55
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.24%EV -9.91%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.97%EV -7.05%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 16:15
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -10.60%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.27%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 16:35
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -10.60%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.85%EV -2.87%E -0.617%K -0.786%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 16:55
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -10.60%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.27%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -10.60%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.27%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 11:49
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -10.60%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.27%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 11:00
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -10.60%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.27%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 11:50
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -10.60%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.27%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 16:34
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -10.60%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -9.55%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 16:30
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -10.60%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -9.55%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.62%EV -11.11%E -8.17%K -30.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -10.60%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -21.67%E -5.78%K -7.88%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-12 16:30
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -4.58%E -3.14%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -11.98%E -1.87%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -7.05%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 16:55
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -4.58%E -3.14%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -11.98%E -1.87%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -7.05%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 16:54
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 63.73%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.78%EV -14.04%E -2.25%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -10.18%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 16:54
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.14%EV -9.15%E -6.58%K -23.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -14.04%E -2.25%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV +0.266%E +0.055%K +0.070%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 16:30
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.03%EV -9.81%E -7.11%K -25.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -14.04%E -2.25%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -1.82%E -0.388%K -0.493%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.48%E -2.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.91%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 16:35
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.48%E -2.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.91%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 16:55
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -17.48%E -2.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -3.91%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 16:35
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -20.23%E -3.49%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -20.23%E -3.49%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.00%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 16:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.45%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.17%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.37%0.2%2026-04-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.60%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-04-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.60%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-04-12 16:55
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.75%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.1%2026-04-12 16:55
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.46%1.8%2026-04-12 16:55
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.63%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.40%3.0%2026-04-12 16:30