A Escola das Odds

Benfica v Vitória SC

Início: 2026-03-21 18:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Benfica (Local)

Previsão 78.81%1.27odd justa
EV -2.28%
Vantagem -1.84%
Kelly -9.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
77.00%78.85%78.83%81.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.131.191.201.2488.50%84.25%83.33%80.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vitória SC (Visitante)

Previsão 7.56%13.22odd justa
EV +13.46%
Vantagem +0.898%
Kelly +0.962%
Crescimento +0.129%

pressupondo odds máximas de 15.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
6.13%7.56%7.70%8.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
10.5012.1712.0015.009.52%8.22%8.33%6.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 13.63%7.34odd justa
EV +6.29%
Vantagem +0.806%
Kelly +0.924%
Crescimento +0.058%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.99%13.59%13.47%14.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.006.766.507.8016.67%14.79%15.38%12.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
SportsBet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -9.37%E -8.15%K -62.46%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV +13.46%E +0.898%K +0.962%G +0.129%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 17:49
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 80.72%EV -10.16%E -8.91%K -72.55%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV +13.46%E +0.898%K +0.962%G +0.129%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 17:49
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.47%EV +9.68%E +0.668%K +0.717%G +0.069%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -12.79%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 17:54
Pinnacle1.19I 84.03%NM 80.55%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000%14.08I 7.10%NM 6.81%EV +6.50%E +0.462%K +0.497%G +0.032%7.58I 13.19%NM 12.65%EV +3.29%E +0.434%K +0.500%G +0.016%4.3%2026-03-21 17:49
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.33%EV -9.37%E -8.15%K -62.46%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV +5.90%E +0.421%K +0.454%G +0.027%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.99%EV +6.29%E +0.806%K +0.924%G +0.058%6.9%2026-03-21 17:54
PlayUp1.18I 84.75%NM 79.00%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.92%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +5.90%E +0.421%K +0.454%G +0.027%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 17:54
1xBet1.22I 81.97%NM 79.52%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.19%EV +2.12%E +0.157%K +0.169%G +0.004%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.29%EV -0.527%E -0.072%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 17:50
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 80.05%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.45%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.50%EV +5.60%E +0.723%K +0.830%G +0.047%3.2%2026-03-21 16:39
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 80.05%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.45%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.50%EV +5.60%E +0.723%K +0.830%G +0.047%3.2%2026-03-21 16:40
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.60%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:49
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:44
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -7.79%E -6.66%K -45.84%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -1.21%E -0.167%K -0.193%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:54
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -10.16%E -8.91%K -72.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +2.20%E +0.293%K +0.338%G +0.007%8.7%2026-03-21 17:50
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -9.37%E -8.15%K -62.46%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 17:33
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 79.03%EV -9.37%E -8.15%K -62.46%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 17:55
PMU (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 79.72%EV -10.95%E -9.69%K -84.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.35%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 78.27%EV -10.16%E -8.91%K -72.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -18.24%E -3.04%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 17:49
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -5.45%E -0.436%K -0.474%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 17:49
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.03%EV -7.79%E -6.66%K -45.84%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.49%EV -5.45%E -0.436%K -0.474%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV +2.20%E +0.293%K +0.338%G +0.007%6.8%2026-03-21 17:39
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.06%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.43%EV -5.45%E -0.436%K -0.474%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -12.79%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:10
NetBet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 79.36%EV -10.16%E -8.91%K -72.55%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.24%EV -5.45%E -0.436%K -0.474%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 17:33
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.79%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 17:09
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:44
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:00
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:00
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:00
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:00
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:06
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 16:39
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -14.83%E -2.37%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:20
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:04
GTbets1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -2.28%E -1.84%K -9.48%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.16%EV -11.12%E -0.946%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.63I 15.08%NM 14.47%EV -9.66%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 17:09
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -13.01%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 17:35
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -13.01%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 17:35
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV -13.01%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:08
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.10%EV -9.37%E -8.15%K -62.46%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV -13.01%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 16:54
Grosvenor1.21I 82.64%NM 77.15%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:34
Casumo1.21I 82.64%NM 77.15%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:34
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 77.15%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:34
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.15%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:35
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:34
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:34
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:34
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:39
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:39
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 17:04
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 77.27%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -12.79%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.27%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -12.79%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 17:34
Virgin Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 77.42%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -12.79%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 17:34
Marathon Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.66%EV -18.68%E -1.74%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.11%EV -3.25%E -0.458%K -0.533%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:55
LeoVegas1.17I 85.47%NM 77.00%EV -7.79%E -6.66%K -45.84%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -20.58%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -14.83%E -2.37%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 17:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.19%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.68%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.13%0.6%2026-03-21 17:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.19%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.68%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.13%0.6%2026-03-21 17:54
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 82.19%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.68%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.13%0.6%2026-03-21 17:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.05%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.84%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-03-21 17:54
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 82.18%17.01I 5.88%NM 5.80%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.03%1.4%2026-03-21 17:54
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 80.64%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.77%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.58%3.3%2026-03-21 17:39