Die Schule der Quoten

Benfica v Vitória SC

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-21 18:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Benfica (Heim)

Prognose 78.81%1.27faire Quote
EV -2.28%
Vorteil -1.84%
Kelly -9.48%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.24

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
77.00%78.85%78.83%81.33%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.131.191.201.2488.50%84.25%83.33%80.65%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Vitória SC (Auswärts)

Prognose 7.56%13.22faire Quote
EV +13.46%
Vorteil +0.898%
Kelly +0.962%
Wachstum +0.129%

bei einer Höchstquote von 15.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
6.13%7.56%7.70%8.66%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
10.5012.1712.0015.009.52%8.22%8.33%6.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 13.63%7.34faire Quote
EV +6.29%
Vorteil +0.806%
Kelly +0.924%
Wachstum +0.058%

bei einer Höchstquote von 7.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
11.99%13.59%13.47%14.87%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
6.006.766.507.8016.67%14.79%15.38%12.82%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
SportsBet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -9.37%E -8.15%K -62.46%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV +13.46%E +0.898%K +0.962%G +0.129%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 17:49
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 80.72%EV -10.16%E -8.91%K -72.55%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV +13.46%E +0.898%K +0.962%G +0.129%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 17:49
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.47%EV +9.68%E +0.668%K +0.717%G +0.069%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -12.79%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 17:54
Pinnacle1.19I 84.03%NM 80.55%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000%14.08I 7.10%NM 6.81%EV +6.50%E +0.462%K +0.497%G +0.032%7.58I 13.19%NM 12.65%EV +3.29%E +0.434%K +0.500%G +0.016%4.3%2026-03-21 17:49
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.33%EV -9.37%E -8.15%K -62.46%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV +5.90%E +0.421%K +0.454%G +0.027%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.99%EV +6.29%E +0.806%K +0.924%G +0.058%6.9%2026-03-21 17:54
PlayUp1.18I 84.75%NM 79.00%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.92%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +5.90%E +0.421%K +0.454%G +0.027%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 17:54
1xBet1.22I 81.97%NM 79.52%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.19%EV +2.12%E +0.157%K +0.169%G +0.004%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.29%EV -0.527%E -0.072%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 17:50
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 80.05%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.45%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.50%EV +5.60%E +0.723%K +0.830%G +0.047%3.2%2026-03-21 16:39
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 80.05%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.45%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.50%EV +5.60%E +0.723%K +0.830%G +0.047%3.2%2026-03-21 16:40
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.60%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:49
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:44
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -7.79%E -6.66%K -45.84%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -1.21%E -0.167%K -0.193%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:54
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -10.16%E -8.91%K -72.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +2.20%E +0.293%K +0.338%G +0.007%8.7%2026-03-21 17:50
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -9.37%E -8.15%K -62.46%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 17:33
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 79.03%EV -9.37%E -8.15%K -62.46%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 17:55
PMU (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 79.72%EV -10.95%E -9.69%K -84.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.35%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 78.27%EV -10.16%E -8.91%K -72.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -18.24%E -3.04%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 17:49
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -5.45%E -0.436%K -0.474%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 17:49
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.03%EV -7.79%E -6.66%K -45.84%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.49%EV -5.45%E -0.436%K -0.474%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV +2.20%E +0.293%K +0.338%G +0.007%6.8%2026-03-21 17:39
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.06%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.43%EV -5.45%E -0.436%K -0.474%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -12.79%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:10
NetBet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 79.36%EV -10.16%E -8.91%K -72.55%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.24%EV -5.45%E -0.436%K -0.474%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 17:33
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.79%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 17:09
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:44
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:00
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:00
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:00
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:00
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:06
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 16:39
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -14.83%E -2.37%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:20
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:04
GTbets1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -2.28%E -1.84%K -9.48%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.16%EV -11.12%E -0.946%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.63I 15.08%NM 14.47%EV -9.66%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 17:09
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -13.01%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 17:35
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -13.01%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 17:35
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV -13.01%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:08
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.10%EV -9.37%E -8.15%K -62.46%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV -13.01%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 16:54
Grosvenor1.21I 82.64%NM 77.15%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:34
Casumo1.21I 82.64%NM 77.15%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:34
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 77.15%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:34
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.15%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:35
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:34
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:34
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:34
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:39
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:39
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 17:04
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 77.27%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -12.79%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.27%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -12.79%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 17:34
Virgin Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 77.42%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -12.79%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 17:34
Marathon Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.66%EV -18.68%E -1.74%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.11%EV -3.25%E -0.458%K -0.533%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:55
LeoVegas1.17I 85.47%NM 77.00%EV -7.79%E -6.66%K -45.84%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -20.58%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -14.83%E -2.37%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 17:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.19%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.68%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.13%0.6%2026-03-21 17:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.19%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.68%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.13%0.6%2026-03-21 17:54
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 82.19%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.68%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.13%0.6%2026-03-21 17:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.05%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.84%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-03-21 17:54
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 82.18%17.01I 5.88%NM 5.80%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.03%1.4%2026-03-21 17:54
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 80.64%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.77%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.58%3.3%2026-03-21 17:39