L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Benfica v Vitória SC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Benfica (Local)
Prévision 78.81%1.27cote équitable
EV -2.28%
Avantage -1.84%
Kelly -9.48%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.24
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.00%78.85%78.83%81.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.131.191.201.2488.50%84.25%83.33%80.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Vitória SC (Visiteur)
Prévision 7.56%13.22cote équitable
EV +13.46%
Avantage +0.898%
Kelly +0.962%
Croissance +0.129%
avec la cote maximale 15.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.13%7.56%7.70%8.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
10.5012.1712.0015.009.52%8.22%8.33%6.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 13.63%7.34cote équitable
EV +6.29%
Avantage +0.806%
Kelly +0.924%
Croissance +0.058%
avec la cote maximale 7.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.99%13.59%13.47%14.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.006.766.507.8016.67%14.79%15.38%12.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -9.37%E -8.15%K -62.46%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV +13.46%E +0.898%K +0.962%G +0.129% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 17:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.72%EV -10.16%E -8.91%K -72.55%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV +13.46%E +0.898%K +0.962%G +0.129% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 17:49 |
| Betsson | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.47%EV +9.68%E +0.668%K +0.717%G +0.069% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -12.79%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.55%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 14.08I 7.10%NM 6.81%EV +6.50%E +0.462%K +0.497%G +0.032% | 7.58I 13.19%NM 12.65%EV +3.29%E +0.434%K +0.500%G +0.016% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 17:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.33%EV -9.37%E -8.15%K -62.46%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV +5.90%E +0.421%K +0.454%G +0.027% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.99%EV +6.29%E +0.806%K +0.924%G +0.058% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.00%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +5.90%E +0.421%K +0.454%G +0.027% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.52%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.19%EV +2.12%E +0.157%K +0.169%G +0.004% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.29%EV -0.527%E -0.072%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.05%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.45%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.50%EV +5.60%E +0.723%K +0.830%G +0.047% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 16:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.05%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.45%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.50%EV +5.60%E +0.723%K +0.830%G +0.047% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 16:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.60%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 17:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| BetUS | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -7.79%E -6.66%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -1.21%E -0.167%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Sky Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -10.16%E -8.91%K -72.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +2.20%E +0.293%K +0.338%G +0.007% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 17:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -9.37%E -8.15%K -62.46%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 17:33 |
| Bet Victor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.03%EV -9.37%E -8.15%K -62.46%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.72%EV -10.95%E -9.69%K -84.20%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.35%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-21 17:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.27%EV -10.16%E -8.91%K -72.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -18.24%E -3.04%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-21 17:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -5.45%E -0.436%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 17:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.03%EV -7.79%E -6.66%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.49%EV -5.45%E -0.436%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV +2.20%E +0.293%K +0.338%G +0.007% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 17:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.06%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.43%EV -5.45%E -0.436%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -12.79%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.36%EV -10.16%E -8.91%K -72.55%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.24%EV -5.45%E -0.436%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 17:33 |
| DraftKings | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.79%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| 888sport | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 17:00 |
| William Hill | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 17:00 |
| Bovada | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 17:06 |
| Everygame | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 16:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -14.83%E -2.37%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 17:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| GTbets | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -2.28%E -1.84%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.16%EV -11.12%E -0.946%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.63I 15.08%NM 14.47%EV -9.66%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -13.01%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -13.01%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV -13.01%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 17:08 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.10%EV -9.37%E -8.15%K -62.46%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV -13.01%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.15%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Casumo | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.15%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| betPARX | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.15%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Bally Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.15%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 17:39 |
| Unibet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 17:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 17:39 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.27%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -12.79%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.27%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -12.79%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.42%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -12.79%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.66%EV -18.68%E -1.74%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.11%EV -3.25%E -0.458%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.00%EV -7.79%E -6.66%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -20.58%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -14.83%E -2.37%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.19% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.68% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.13% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.19% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.68% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.13% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Matchbook | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.19% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.68% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.13% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.05% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.84% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.18% | 17.01I 5.88%NM 5.80% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.03% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Kalshi | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.64% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.77% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.58% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 17:39 |