La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Benfica v Vitória SC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Benfica (Local)
Predicción 78.81%1.27momio equitativo
EV -2.28%
Ventaja -1.84%
Kelly -9.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.00%78.85%78.83%81.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.131.191.201.2488.50%84.25%83.33%80.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Vitória SC (Visitante)
Predicción 7.56%13.22momio equitativo
EV +13.46%
Ventaja +0.898%
Kelly +0.962%
Crecimiento +0.129%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 15.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.13%7.56%7.70%8.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
10.5012.1712.0015.009.52%8.22%8.33%6.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 13.63%7.34momio equitativo
EV +6.29%
Ventaja +0.806%
Kelly +0.924%
Crecimiento +0.058%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.99%13.59%13.47%14.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.006.766.507.8016.67%14.79%15.38%12.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -9.37%E -8.15%K -62.46%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV +13.46%E +0.898%K +0.962%G +0.129% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 17:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.72%EV -10.16%E -8.91%K -72.55%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV +13.46%E +0.898%K +0.962%G +0.129% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 17:49 |
| Betsson | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.47%EV +9.68%E +0.668%K +0.717%G +0.069% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -12.79%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.55%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 14.08I 7.10%NM 6.81%EV +6.50%E +0.462%K +0.497%G +0.032% | 7.58I 13.19%NM 12.65%EV +3.29%E +0.434%K +0.500%G +0.016% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 17:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.33%EV -9.37%E -8.15%K -62.46%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV +5.90%E +0.421%K +0.454%G +0.027% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.99%EV +6.29%E +0.806%K +0.924%G +0.058% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.00%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +5.90%E +0.421%K +0.454%G +0.027% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.52%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.19%EV +2.12%E +0.157%K +0.169%G +0.004% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.29%EV -0.527%E -0.072%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.05%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.45%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.50%EV +5.60%E +0.723%K +0.830%G +0.047% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 16:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.05%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.45%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.50%EV +5.60%E +0.723%K +0.830%G +0.047% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 16:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.60%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 17:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| BetUS | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -7.79%E -6.66%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -1.21%E -0.167%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Sky Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -10.16%E -8.91%K -72.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +2.20%E +0.293%K +0.338%G +0.007% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 17:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -9.37%E -8.15%K -62.46%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 17:33 |
| Bet Victor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.03%EV -9.37%E -8.15%K -62.46%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.72%EV -10.95%E -9.69%K -84.20%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.35%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-21 17:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.27%EV -10.16%E -8.91%K -72.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86%EV -1.67%E -0.128%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -18.24%E -3.04%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-21 17:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -5.45%E -0.436%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 17:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.03%EV -7.79%E -6.66%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.49%EV -5.45%E -0.436%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV +2.20%E +0.293%K +0.338%G +0.007% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 17:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.06%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.43%EV -5.45%E -0.436%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -12.79%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.36%EV -10.16%E -8.91%K -72.55%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.24%EV -5.45%E -0.436%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 17:33 |
| DraftKings | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.79%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| 888sport | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 17:00 |
| William Hill | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 17:00 |
| Bovada | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 17:06 |
| Everygame | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 16:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -14.83%E -2.37%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 17:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -9.23%E -0.769%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| GTbets | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -2.28%E -1.84%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.16%EV -11.12%E -0.946%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.63I 15.08%NM 14.47%EV -9.66%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -13.01%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -13.01%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV -13.01%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 17:08 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.10%EV -9.37%E -8.15%K -62.46%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV -13.01%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.15%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Casumo | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.15%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| betPARX | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.15%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Bally Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.15%EV -4.64%E -3.84%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 17:39 |
| Unibet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 17:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.43%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 17:39 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -4.61%E -0.659%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.27%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -12.79%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.27%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -12.79%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.42%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV -16.79%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -12.79%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 17:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.66%EV -18.68%E -1.74%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.11%EV -3.25%E -0.458%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 17:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.00%EV -7.79%E -6.66%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -20.58%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -14.83%E -2.37%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-21 17:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.19% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.68% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.13% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.19% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.68% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.13% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Matchbook | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.19% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.68% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.13% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.05% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.84% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.18% | 17.01I 5.88%NM 5.80% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.03% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 17:54 |
| Kalshi | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.64% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.77% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.58% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 17:39 |