赔率学院语言:简体中文
Benfica v Nacional
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Benfica (主队)
预测 81.86%1.22公平赔率
EV -3.40%
优势 -2.88%
Kelly -18.89%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.18
博彩公司预测分布
78.12%81.77%81.72%84.15%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.091.141.141.1891.74%87.92%87.72%84.75%MIN均值中位数MAX
Nacional (客队)
预测 6.33%15.80公平赔率
EV +9.85%
优势 +0.568%
Kelly +0.602%
增长率 +0.059%
假设最高赔率为 17.36
博彩公司预测分布
5.38%6.37%6.27%8.14%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
11.5014.7415.0017.368.70%6.78%6.67%5.76%MIN均值中位数MAX
平局
预测 11.81%8.47公平赔率
EV +9.69%
优势 +1.04%
Kelly +1.17%
增长率 +0.113%
假设最高赔率为 9.29
博彩公司预测分布
10.15%11.86%12.01%14.97%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
6.007.827.509.2916.67%12.78%13.33%10.76%MIN均值中位数MAX
博彩公司赔率 (55 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.15%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000% | 17.36I 5.76%NM 5.53%EV +9.85%E +0.568%K +0.602%G +0.059% | 9.29I 10.76%NM 10.33%EV +9.69%E +1.04%K +1.17%G +0.113% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.60%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.90%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV +6.27%E +0.697%K +0.784%G +0.049% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.90%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -11.41%E -0.815%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +6.27%E +0.697%K +0.784%G +0.049% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 16:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.40%EV -8.31%E -7.42%K -69.27%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +6.27%E +0.697%K +0.784%G +0.049% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 09:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.28%EV -9.95%E -9.04%K -99.49%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.54%EV -11.41%E -0.815%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV +6.27%E +0.697%K +0.784%G +0.049% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.08%EV -9.95%E -9.04%K -99.49%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.77%EV -14.57%E -1.08%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV +6.27%E +0.697%K +0.784%G +0.049% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 16:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV +0.365%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| BetUS | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV +0.365%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 16:54 |
| Everygame | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.89%EV -8.31%E -7.42%K -69.27%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV +0.365%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -9.13%E -8.23%K -83.01%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +7.58%E +0.446%K +0.474%G +0.036% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV +0.365%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 16:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -9.13%E -8.23%K -83.01%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +7.58%E +0.446%K +0.474%G +0.036% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV +0.365%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 16:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.39%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -24.06%E -2.01%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.95%EV -0.816%E -0.097%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 16:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.39%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -24.06%E -2.01%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.95%EV -0.816%E -0.097%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.15%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.57%EV -9.83%E -0.690%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.28%EV -2.00%E -0.241%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 16:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.99%EV -3.40%E -2.88%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 16.10I 6.21%NM 6.01%EV +1.88%E +0.117%K +0.125%G +0.002% | 8.06I 12.41%NM 12.00%EV -4.83%E -0.599%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 16:54 |
| Coral | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.76%EV -3.40%E -2.88%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -5.54%E -0.692%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.26%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -5.54%E -0.692%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.26%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -5.54%E -0.692%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.54%E -0.692%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 16:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.18%EV -9.95%E -9.04%K -99.49%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV +7.58%E +0.446%K +0.474%G +0.036% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -5.54%E -0.692%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-12 16:03 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.03%EV -10.77%E -9.88%K -119.64%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.66%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -5.54%E -0.692%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.37%EV -4.22%E -3.61%K -24.82%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.35%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.28%EV -8.49%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.55%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000% | 17.25I 5.80%NM 5.41%EV +9.16%E +0.531%K +0.564%G +0.052% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -8.49%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.76%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -8.49%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 16:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.89%EV -3.40%E -2.88%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -20.90%E -1.67%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -3.40%E -2.88%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -24.06%E -2.01%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |
| Neds | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -3.40%E -2.88%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -27.23%E -2.37%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -3.40%E -2.88%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -27.23%E -2.37%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.39%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 11:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.75%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Casumo | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.75%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.75%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 13:01 |
| betPARX | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.75%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| 888sport | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| William Hill | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 16:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 05:09 |
| Unibet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.88%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.88%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 13:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.88%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.88%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 13:01 |
| TABtouch | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.88%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 13:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -8.31%E -7.42%K -69.27%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -8.31%E -7.42%K -69.27%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -9.13%E -8.23%K -83.01%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 16:53 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -9.13%E -8.23%K -83.01%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.97%EV -9.95%E -9.04%K -99.49%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.01%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-12 16:53 |
| NordicBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.76%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV +4.41%E +0.267%K +0.285%G +0.013% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.59%EV -12.62%E -1.71%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 16:54 |
| Betsson | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.76%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV +4.41%E +0.267%K +0.285%G +0.013% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.59%EV -12.62%E -1.71%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.46%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV -11.41%E -0.815%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV -14.39%E -1.99%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 11:49 |
| Betway | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -4.22%E -3.61%K -24.82%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -17.35%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 12:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -17.35%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 16:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.13%EV -9.13%E -8.23%K -83.01%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.87%EV -17.35%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.12%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -29.15%E -4.86%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-12 16:15 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.89% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.15% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.96% | 0.4% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.89% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.15% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.96% | 0.4% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.89% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.15% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.96% | 0.4% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.71% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.14% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.66% | 22.99I 4.35%NM 4.29% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.05% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.90% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 16:55 |