StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Benfica v Nacional

Aanvang: 2026-04-12 17:00 UTC

Eindstand: Benfica 2–0 Nacional

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

55 wedaanbieders (19 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Benfica (Thuis)

Prognose 81.86%1.22margevrije odds
EV -3.40%
Voordeel -2.88%
Kelly -18.89%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.18

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
78.12%81.77%81.72%84.15%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.091.141.141.1891.74%87.92%87.72%84.75%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Nacional (Uit)

Prognose 6.33%15.80margevrije odds
EV +9.85%
Voordeel +0.568%
Kelly +0.602%
Groei +0.059%

bij maximale odds 17.36

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
5.38%6.37%6.27%8.14%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
11.5014.7415.0017.368.70%6.78%6.67%5.76%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Gelijkspel

Prognose 11.81%8.47margevrije odds
EV +9.69%
Voordeel +1.04%
Kelly +1.17%
Groei +0.113%

bij maximale odds 9.29

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
10.15%11.86%12.01%14.97%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
6.007.827.509.2916.67%12.78%13.33%10.76%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Benfica (Thuis): 81.86%; Nacional (Uit): 6.33%; Gelijkspel: 11.81%. Voor Nacional (Uit) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 15.80. 21 wedaanbieders boden slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 17.36, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +9.85%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (55 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspel ▼MargeBijgewerkt
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.15%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000%17.36I 5.76%NM 5.53%EV +9.85%E +0.568%K +0.602%G +0.059%9.29I 10.76%NM 10.33%EV +9.69%E +1.04%K +1.17%G +0.113%4.2%2026-04-12 16:55
Fanatics🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.60%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.90%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV +6.27%E +0.697%K +0.784%G +0.049%5.9%2026-04-12 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.90%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -11.41%E -0.815%K -0.878%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +6.27%E +0.697%K +0.784%G +0.049%6.7%2026-04-12 16:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.40%EV -8.31%E -7.42%K -69.27%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +6.27%E +0.697%K +0.784%G +0.049%7.1%2026-04-12 09:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.28%EV -9.95%E -9.04%K -99.49%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.54%EV -11.41%E -0.815%K -0.878%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV +6.27%E +0.697%K +0.784%G +0.049%9.2%2026-04-12 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.08%EV -9.95%E -9.04%K -99.49%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.77%EV -14.57%E -1.08%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV +6.27%E +0.697%K +0.784%G +0.049%9.4%2026-04-12 16:54
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV +0.365%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 16:30
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV +0.365%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 16:54
Everygame🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.89%EV -8.31%E -7.42%K -69.27%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV +0.365%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -9.13%E -8.23%K -83.01%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +7.58%E +0.446%K +0.474%G +0.036%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV +0.365%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 16:05
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -9.13%E -8.23%K -83.01%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +7.58%E +0.446%K +0.474%G +0.036%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV +0.365%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 16:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.39%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -24.06%E -2.01%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.95%EV -0.816%E -0.097%K -0.110%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.39%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -24.06%E -2.01%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.95%EV -0.816%E -0.097%K -0.110%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.15%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.57%EV -9.83%E -0.690%K -0.742%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.28%EV -2.00%E -0.241%K -0.274%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 16:54
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.99%EV -3.40%E -2.88%K -18.89%G +0.000%16.10I 6.21%NM 6.01%EV +1.88%E +0.117%K +0.125%G +0.002%8.06I 12.41%NM 12.00%EV -4.83%E -0.599%K -0.684%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 16:54
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.76%EV -3.40%E -2.88%K -18.89%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -5.54%E -0.692%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.26%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.04%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -5.54%E -0.692%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.26%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.04%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -5.54%E -0.692%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 16:55
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.54%E -0.692%K -0.791%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 16:05
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.18%EV -9.95%E -9.04%K -99.49%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV +7.58%E +0.446%K +0.474%G +0.036%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -5.54%E -0.692%K -0.791%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 16:03
NetBet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.03%EV -10.77%E -9.88%K -119.64%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.66%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -5.54%E -0.692%K -0.791%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.37%EV -4.22%E -3.61%K -24.82%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.35%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.28%EV -8.49%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 11:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.55%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000%17.25I 5.80%NM 5.41%EV +9.16%E +0.531%K +0.564%G +0.052%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -8.49%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.76%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -8.49%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 16:35
BetMGM🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.89%EV -3.40%E -2.88%K -18.89%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -20.90%E -1.67%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -3.40%E -2.88%K -18.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -24.06%E -2.01%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 16:55
Neds🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -3.40%E -2.88%K -18.89%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -27.23%E -2.37%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -3.40%E -2.88%K -18.89%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -27.23%E -2.37%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 16:55
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.39%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.48%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 11:49
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.75%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 13:00
Casumo🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.75%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 13:00
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.75%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 13:01
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.75%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 13:00
888sport🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 16:30
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 16:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 05:09
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.88%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.88%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 13:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.88%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 13:00
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.88%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 13:01
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.88%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 13:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -8.31%E -7.42%K -69.27%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -8.31%E -7.42%K -69.27%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -9.13%E -8.23%K -83.01%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 16:53
Virgin Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -9.13%E -8.23%K -83.01%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 16:55
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.97%EV -9.95%E -9.04%K -99.49%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.01%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-12 16:53
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.76%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV +4.41%E +0.267%K +0.285%G +0.013%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.59%EV -12.62%E -1.71%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 16:54
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.76%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV +4.41%E +0.267%K +0.285%G +0.013%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.59%EV -12.62%E -1.71%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.46%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.48%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV -11.41%E -0.815%K -0.878%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV -14.39%E -1.99%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 11:49
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -4.22%E -3.61%K -24.82%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -17.35%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 12:35
Bet Victor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -17.35%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 16:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.13%EV -9.13%E -8.23%K -83.01%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.87%EV -17.35%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 16:30
BoyleSports🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.12%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -29.15%E -4.86%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 16:15
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (6)

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspelMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.89%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.15%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.96%0.4%2026-04-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.89%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.15%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.96%0.4%2026-04-12 16:55
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.89%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.15%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.96%0.4%2026-04-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.71%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.14%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.15%0.6%2026-04-12 16:55
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 85.66%22.99I 4.35%NM 4.29%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.05%1.5%2026-04-12 16:55
Kalshi1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.90%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81%2.0%2026-04-12 16:55