Школа коэффициентов

Benfica v Nacional

Начало: 2026-04-12 17:00 UTC

Итог: Benfica 2–0 Nacional

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

55 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Benfica (Хозяева)

Прогноз 81.86%1.22справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.40%
Преимущество -2.88%
Kelly -18.89%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.18

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
78.12%81.77%81.72%84.15%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.091.141.141.1891.74%87.92%87.72%84.75%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Nacional (Гости)

Прогноз 6.33%15.80справедливый коэффициент
EV +9.85%
Преимущество +0.568%
Kelly +0.602%
Рост +0.059%

при максимальном коэффициенте 17.36

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
5.38%6.37%6.27%8.14%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
11.5014.7415.0017.368.70%6.78%6.67%5.76%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 11.81%8.47справедливый коэффициент
EV +9.69%
Преимущество +1.04%
Kelly +1.17%
Рост +0.113%

при максимальном коэффициенте 9.29

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
10.15%11.86%12.01%14.97%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
6.007.827.509.2916.67%12.78%13.33%10.76%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (55 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичья ▼МаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.14I 87.72%NM 84.15%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000%17.36I 5.76%NM 5.53%EV +9.85%E +0.568%K +0.602%G +0.059%9.29I 10.76%NM 10.33%EV +9.69%E +1.04%K +1.17%G +0.113%4.2%2026-04-12 16:55
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 83.60%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.90%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV +6.27%E +0.697%K +0.784%G +0.049%5.9%2026-04-12 15:30
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.90%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -11.41%E -0.815%K -0.878%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +6.27%E +0.697%K +0.784%G +0.049%6.7%2026-04-12 16:35
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.40%EV -8.31%E -7.42%K -69.27%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +6.27%E +0.697%K +0.784%G +0.049%7.1%2026-04-12 09:25
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.28%EV -9.95%E -9.04%K -99.49%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.54%EV -11.41%E -0.815%K -0.878%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV +6.27%E +0.697%K +0.784%G +0.049%9.2%2026-04-12 16:55
Winamax (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.08%EV -9.95%E -9.04%K -99.49%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.77%EV -14.57%E -1.08%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV +6.27%E +0.697%K +0.784%G +0.049%9.4%2026-04-12 16:54
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV +0.365%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 16:30
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV +0.365%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 16:54
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 82.89%EV -8.31%E -7.42%K -69.27%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV +0.365%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 16:55
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -9.13%E -8.23%K -83.01%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +7.58%E +0.446%K +0.474%G +0.036%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV +0.365%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 16:05
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -9.13%E -8.23%K -83.01%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +7.58%E +0.446%K +0.474%G +0.036%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV +0.365%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 16:04
LowVig.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 81.39%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -24.06%E -2.01%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.95%EV -0.816%E -0.097%K -0.110%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 16:54
BetOnline.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 81.39%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -24.06%E -2.01%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.95%EV -0.816%E -0.097%K -0.110%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 16:55
Marathon Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.15%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.57%EV -9.83%E -0.690%K -0.742%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.28%EV -2.00%E -0.241%K -0.274%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 16:54
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.99%EV -3.40%E -2.88%K -18.89%G +0.000%16.10I 6.21%NM 6.01%EV +1.88%E +0.117%K +0.125%G +0.002%8.06I 12.41%NM 12.00%EV -4.83%E -0.599%K -0.684%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 16:54
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 80.76%EV -3.40%E -2.88%K -18.89%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -5.54%E -0.692%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 16:55
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.26%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.04%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -5.54%E -0.692%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 16:55
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.26%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.04%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -5.54%E -0.692%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 16:55
Sky Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.54%E -0.692%K -0.791%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 16:05
FanDuel1.10I 90.91%NM 83.18%EV -9.95%E -9.04%K -99.49%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV +7.58%E +0.446%K +0.474%G +0.036%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -5.54%E -0.692%K -0.791%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 16:03
NetBet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.03%EV -10.77%E -9.88%K -119.64%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.66%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -5.54%E -0.692%K -0.791%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 16:55
Coolbet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.37%EV -4.22%E -3.61%K -24.82%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.35%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.28%EV -8.49%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 11:50
Betclic (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.55%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000%17.25I 5.80%NM 5.41%EV +9.16%E +0.531%K +0.564%G +0.052%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -8.49%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 16:55
PlayUp1.14I 87.72%NM 81.76%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -8.49%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 16:35
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 79.89%EV -3.40%E -2.88%K -18.89%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -20.90%E -1.67%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -3.40%E -2.88%K -18.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -24.06%E -2.01%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 16:55
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -3.40%E -2.88%K -18.89%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -27.23%E -2.37%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -3.40%E -2.88%K -18.89%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -27.23%E -2.37%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 16:55
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 80.39%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.48%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 11:49
Grosvenor1.14I 87.72%NM 81.75%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 13:00
Casumo1.14I 87.72%NM 81.75%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 13:00
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.75%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 13:01
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 81.75%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 13:00
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 16:30
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 16:30
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 16:30
William Hill1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 16:34
PointsBet (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 05:09
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 81.88%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 13:00
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.88%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 13:01
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.88%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 13:00
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 81.88%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 13:01
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 81.88%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV +1.25%E +0.078%K +0.083%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 13:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -8.31%E -7.42%K -69.27%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -8.31%E -7.42%K -69.27%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 16:55
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -9.13%E -8.23%K -83.01%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 16:53
Virgin Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -9.13%E -8.23%K -83.01%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 16:55
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 81.97%EV -9.95%E -9.04%K -99.49%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.01%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -11.44%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-12 16:53
NordicBet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.76%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV +4.41%E +0.267%K +0.285%G +0.013%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.59%EV -12.62%E -1.71%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 16:54
Betsson1.14I 87.72%NM 81.76%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.68%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV +4.41%E +0.267%K +0.285%G +0.013%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.59%EV -12.62%E -1.71%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 16:55
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.46%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.48%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV -11.41%E -0.815%K -0.878%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV -14.39%E -1.99%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 11:49
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -4.22%E -3.61%K -24.82%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -17.35%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 12:35
Bet Victor1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.64%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -17.35%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 16:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 81.13%EV -9.13%E -8.23%K -83.01%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%EV -5.08%E -0.339%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.87%EV -17.35%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 16:30
BoyleSports1.15I 86.96%NM 78.12%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%EV -17.74%E -1.36%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -29.15%E -4.86%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 16:15
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.89%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.15%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.96%0.4%2026-04-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.89%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.15%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.96%0.4%2026-04-12 16:55
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.89%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.15%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.96%0.4%2026-04-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.71%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.14%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.15%0.6%2026-04-12 16:55
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 85.66%22.99I 4.35%NM 4.29%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.05%1.5%2026-04-12 16:55
Kalshi1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.90%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81%2.0%2026-04-12 16:55