A Escola das Odds

AVS Futebol SAD v CF Estrela

Início: 2026-02-28 15:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

AVS Futebol SAD (Local)

Previsão 33.07%3.02odd justa
EV -3.09%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -1.60%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.14%33.33%33.05%38.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.452.812.802.9340.82%35.53%35.71%34.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

CF Estrela (Visitante)

Previsão 38.15%2.62odd justa
EV +8.73%
Vantagem +3.06%
Kelly +4.72%
Crescimento +0.412%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.75%37.93%38.19%39.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.442.452.8543.48%40.92%40.82%35.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.78%3.48odd justa
EV -2.16%
Vantagem -0.636%
Kelly -0.902%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.54%28.74%28.75%30.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.253.303.4034.72%30.72%30.30%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -18.97%E -7.74%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +8.73%E +3.06%K +4.72%G +0.412%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 08:49
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.46%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.32%EV -0.808%E -0.311%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.22%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-28 15:05
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.46%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.32%EV -0.808%E -0.311%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.22%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-28 15:05
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13%NM 33.05%EV -3.09%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.13%EV -3.10%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.82%EV -3.31%E -0.987%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 15:05
BetUS2.78I 35.97%NM 33.80%EV -8.05%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -3.86%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 15:05
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -4.62%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 15:05
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -4.62%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 15:04
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.62%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 15:05
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.62%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 15:05
GTbets2.84I 35.21%NM 33.20%EV -6.07%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.87%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.93%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 15:05
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.66%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 15:01
Marathon Bet2.79I 35.84%NM 33.42%EV -7.72%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 15:05
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -8.05%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -5.39%E -2.17%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 15:05
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -8.05%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -5.39%E -2.17%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 15:05
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 15:05
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.88%EV -5.08%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 15:05
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 15:05
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 15:05
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 15:05
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 15:05
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 15:06
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 15:05
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 15:05
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 15:05
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 15:05
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 15:04
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 15:05
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 15:05
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 15:06
Betclic (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 32.59%EV -3.42%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.17%EV -7.29%E -3.00%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.24%EV -3.03%E -0.898%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 15:04
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 32.84%EV -4.75%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.92%EV -7.29%E -3.00%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -3.60%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 15:05
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.84%EV -4.75%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.92%EV -7.29%E -3.00%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -3.60%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 15:05
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.36%EV -7.68%E -3.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 15:05
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.60%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 15:05
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.60%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 15:05
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.60%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 15:05
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.60%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 15:05
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -2.16%E -0.636%K -0.902%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 15:05
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 15:05
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 15:05
Parions Sport (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 15:05
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 15:05
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 15:05
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -9.20%E -3.87%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 15:05
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -9.20%E -3.87%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 15:05
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -9.20%E -3.87%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -9.20%E -3.87%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 15:05
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -9.20%E -3.87%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 15:05
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -10.35%E -4.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 15:05
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.35%E -4.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 15:05
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 32.84%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.93%EV -11.49%E -4.95%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 15:05
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -12.25%E -5.33%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -12.25%E -5.33%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.13%EV -17.13%E -5.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-28 15:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 33.46%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.21%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33%0.3%2026-02-28 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.22%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.47%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%0.3%2026-02-28 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-02-28 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-02-28 15:05
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.57%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%1.6%2026-02-28 15:05