La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
AVS Futebol SAD v CF Estrela
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
AVS Futebol SAD (Local)
Predicción 33.07%3.02momio equitativo
EV -3.09%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.14%33.33%33.05%38.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.812.802.9340.82%35.53%35.71%34.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
CF Estrela (Visitante)
Predicción 38.15%2.62momio equitativo
EV +8.73%
Ventaja +3.06%
Kelly +4.72%
Crecimiento +0.412%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.75%37.93%38.19%39.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.442.452.8543.48%40.92%40.82%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.78%3.48momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -0.636%
Kelly -0.902%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.54%28.74%28.75%30.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.253.303.4034.72%30.72%30.30%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -18.97%E -7.74%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +8.73%E +3.06%K +4.72%G +0.412% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 08:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.46%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.32%EV -0.808%E -0.311%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.22%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.46%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.32%EV -0.808%E -0.311%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.22%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.05%EV -3.09%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.13%EV -3.10%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.82%EV -3.31%E -0.987%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| BetUS | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.80%EV -8.05%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -3.86%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -4.62%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -4.62%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 15:04 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.62%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.62%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| GTbets | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.20%EV -6.07%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.87%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.93%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Bovada | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.66%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 15:01 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.42%EV -7.72%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -8.05%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -5.39%E -2.17%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Betsson | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -8.05%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -5.39%E -2.17%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.88%EV -5.08%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Everygame | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 15:06 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Sky Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| 888sport | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| William Hill | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 15:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 15:06 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.59%EV -3.42%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.17%EV -7.29%E -3.00%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.24%EV -3.03%E -0.898%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 15:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.84%EV -4.75%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.92%EV -7.29%E -3.00%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -3.60%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.84%EV -4.75%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.92%EV -7.29%E -3.00%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -3.60%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.36%EV -7.68%E -3.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Casumo | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.60%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.60%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Bally Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.60%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| betPARX | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.60%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -2.16%E -0.636%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Unibet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -9.20%E -3.87%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -9.20%E -3.87%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -9.20%E -3.87%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -9.20%E -3.87%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -9.20%E -3.87%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -10.35%E -4.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.35%E -4.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.84%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.93%EV -11.49%E -4.95%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -12.25%E -5.33%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -12.25%E -5.33%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.13%EV -17.13%E -5.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.46% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.21% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33% | 0.3% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.22% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.47% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 0.3% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25% | 0.6% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25% | 0.6% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.57% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95% | 1.6% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |