مدرسة الاحتمالات

AVS Futebol SAD v CF Estrela

البداية: 2026-02-28 15:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

AVS Futebol SAD (المضيف)

التنبؤ 33.07%3.02السعر العادل
EV -3.09%
الأفضلية -1.06%
Kelly -1.60%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.93

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.14%33.33%33.05%38.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.452.812.802.9340.82%35.53%35.71%34.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

CF Estrela (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.15%2.62السعر العادل
EV +8.73%
الأفضلية +3.06%
Kelly +4.72%
النمو +0.412%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.75%37.93%38.19%39.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.442.452.8543.48%40.92%40.82%35.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.78%3.48السعر العادل
EV -2.16%
الأفضلية -0.636%
Kelly -0.902%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.54%28.74%28.75%30.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.253.303.4034.72%30.72%30.30%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -18.97%E -7.74%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +8.73%E +3.06%K +4.72%G +0.412%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 08:49
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.46%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.32%EV -0.808%E -0.311%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.22%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-28 15:05
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.46%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.32%EV -0.808%E -0.311%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.22%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-28 15:05
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13%NM 33.05%EV -3.09%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.13%EV -3.10%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.82%EV -3.31%E -0.987%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 15:05
BetUS2.78I 35.97%NM 33.80%EV -8.05%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -3.86%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 15:05
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -4.62%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 15:05
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -4.62%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 15:04
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.62%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 15:05
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.62%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 15:05
GTbets2.84I 35.21%NM 33.20%EV -6.07%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.87%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.93%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 15:05
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.66%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 15:01
Marathon Bet2.79I 35.84%NM 33.42%EV -7.72%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 15:05
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -8.05%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -5.39%E -2.17%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 15:05
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -8.05%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -5.39%E -2.17%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 15:05
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 15:05
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.88%EV -5.08%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 15:05
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 15:05
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 15:05
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 15:05
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 15:05
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 15:06
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 15:05
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 15:05
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 15:05
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 15:05
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 15:04
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 15:05
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 15:05
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 15:06
Betclic (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 32.59%EV -3.42%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.17%EV -7.29%E -3.00%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.24%EV -3.03%E -0.898%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 15:04
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 32.84%EV -4.75%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.92%EV -7.29%E -3.00%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -3.60%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 15:05
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.84%EV -4.75%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.92%EV -7.29%E -3.00%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -3.60%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 15:05
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.36%EV -7.68%E -3.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 15:05
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.60%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 15:05
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.60%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 15:05
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.60%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 15:05
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.60%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 15:05
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -2.16%E -0.636%K -0.902%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 15:05
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 15:05
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 15:05
Parions Sport (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 15:05
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 15:05
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 15:05
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -9.20%E -3.87%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 15:05
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -9.20%E -3.87%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 15:05
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -9.20%E -3.87%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -9.20%E -3.87%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 15:05
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -9.20%E -3.87%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 15:05
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -10.35%E -4.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 15:05
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.35%E -4.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 15:05
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 32.84%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.93%EV -11.49%E -4.95%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 15:05
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -12.25%E -5.33%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -12.25%E -5.33%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.13%EV -17.13%E -5.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-28 15:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 33.46%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.21%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33%0.3%2026-02-28 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.22%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.47%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%0.3%2026-02-28 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-02-28 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-02-28 15:05
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.57%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%1.6%2026-02-28 15:05