Oddsskolan

Arouca v Estoril

Matchstart: 2026-04-06 17:45 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Arouca (Hemma)

Prognos 39.51%2.53rättvist odds
EV -2.02%
Fördel -0.816%
Kelly -1.37%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.48

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.57%39.54%39.42%40.55%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.202.382.392.4845.45%42.04%41.84%40.32%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Estoril (Borta)

Prognos 33.85%2.95rättvist odds
EV -1.83%
Fördel -0.630%
Kelly -0.961%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.78%33.89%33.87%35.56%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.502.722.752.9040.00%36.78%36.36%34.48%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.64%3.75rättvist odds
EV -0.099%
Fördel -0.026%
Kelly -0.036%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.13%26.56%26.70%27.64%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.103.503.503.7532.26%28.59%28.57%26.67%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 39.16%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.83%E -0.630%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 17:20
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 39.16%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.83%E -0.630%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 17:20
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:20
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:20
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:20
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:20
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:20
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:20
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -10.97%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 17:20
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -10.97%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 17:20
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.49%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.71%EV -2.84%E -0.990%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.80%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 17:40
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV -10.97%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 17:20
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV -10.97%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 17:20
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV -10.97%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -4.00%E -1.65%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.28%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 17:20
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -4.00%E -1.65%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.28%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 17:20
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 40.09%EV -4.39%E -1.82%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.69%EV -2.50%E -0.869%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -1.43%E -0.387%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-06 17:40
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 17:20
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 17:25
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 17:39
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 17:25
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 17:25
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:30
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 17:20
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -13.67%E -5.36%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 17:20
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -13.67%E -5.36%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 17:20
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.00%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -8.36%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 17:40
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 17:20
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 17:25
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -5.89%E -2.12%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 17:20
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -5.89%E -2.12%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 17:20
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.30%EV -13.67%E -5.36%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.75%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 17:20
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.55%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -0.099%E -0.026%K -0.036%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 17:40
GTbets2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 17:20
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 16:10
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 17:24
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 17:20
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 17:20
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -1.43%E -0.387%K -0.530%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 17:25
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 17:40
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 17:40
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 17:00
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 17:01
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 17:25
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 17:25
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 16:50
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 17:25
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 17:24
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 17:25
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 17:25
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 17:20
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.40%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.94%EV -9.61%E -3.60%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 17:40
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -11.11%E -4.94%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 17:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -11.11%E -4.94%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -15.37%E -6.15%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -17.42%E -5.62%K -8.29%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-06 17:40
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-06 17:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.54%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.57%0.4%2026-04-06 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-04-06 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-04-06 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-04-06 17:30
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.69%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.60%1.6%2026-04-06 17:40
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-04-06 17:30