La scuola delle quote

Arouca v Estoril

Inizio: 2026-04-06 17:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Arouca (Casa)

Previsione 39.51%2.53quota equa
EV -2.02%
Vantaggio -0.816%
Kelly -1.37%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.57%39.54%39.42%40.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.382.392.4845.45%42.04%41.84%40.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Estoril (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.85%2.95quota equa
EV -1.83%
Vantaggio -0.630%
Kelly -0.961%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.78%33.89%33.87%35.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.722.752.9040.00%36.78%36.36%34.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.64%3.75quota equa
EV -0.099%
Vantaggio -0.026%
Kelly -0.036%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.13%26.56%26.70%27.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.503.503.7532.26%28.59%28.57%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 39.16%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.83%E -0.630%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 17:20
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 39.16%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.83%E -0.630%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 17:20
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:20
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:20
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:20
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:20
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:20
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:20
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -10.97%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 17:20
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -10.97%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 17:20
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.49%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.71%EV -2.84%E -0.990%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.80%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 17:40
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV -10.97%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 17:20
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV -10.97%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 17:20
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV -10.97%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -4.00%E -1.65%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.28%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 17:20
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -4.00%E -1.65%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.28%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 17:20
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 40.09%EV -4.39%E -1.82%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.69%EV -2.50%E -0.869%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -1.43%E -0.387%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-06 17:40
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 17:20
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 17:25
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 17:39
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 17:25
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 17:25
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:30
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 17:20
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -13.67%E -5.36%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 17:20
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -13.67%E -5.36%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 17:20
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.00%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -8.36%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 17:40
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 17:20
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 17:25
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -5.89%E -2.12%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 17:20
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -5.89%E -2.12%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 17:20
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.30%EV -13.67%E -5.36%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.75%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 17:20
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.55%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -0.099%E -0.026%K -0.036%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 17:40
GTbets2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 17:20
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 16:10
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 17:24
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 17:20
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 17:20
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -1.43%E -0.387%K -0.530%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 17:25
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 17:40
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 17:40
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 17:00
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 17:01
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 17:25
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 17:25
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 16:50
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 17:25
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 17:24
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 17:25
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 17:25
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 17:20
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.40%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.94%EV -9.61%E -3.60%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 17:40
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -11.11%E -4.94%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 17:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -11.11%E -4.94%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -15.37%E -6.15%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -17.42%E -5.62%K -8.29%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-06 17:40
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-06 17:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.54%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.57%0.4%2026-04-06 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-04-06 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-04-06 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-04-06 17:30
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.69%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.60%1.6%2026-04-06 17:40
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-04-06 17:30