مدرسة الاحتمالات

Arouca v Estoril

البداية: 2026-04-06 17:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Arouca (المضيف)

التنبؤ 39.51%2.53السعر العادل
EV -2.02%
الأفضلية -0.816%
Kelly -1.37%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.48

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.57%39.54%39.42%40.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.382.392.4845.45%42.04%41.84%40.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Estoril (الضيف)

التنبؤ 33.85%2.95السعر العادل
EV -1.83%
الأفضلية -0.630%
Kelly -0.961%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.78%33.89%33.87%35.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.722.752.9040.00%36.78%36.36%34.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.64%3.75السعر العادل
EV -0.099%
الأفضلية -0.026%
Kelly -0.036%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.13%26.56%26.70%27.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.503.503.7532.26%28.59%28.57%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 39.16%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.83%E -0.630%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 17:20
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 39.16%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.83%E -0.630%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 17:20
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:20
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:20
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:20
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:20
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:20
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:20
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -10.97%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 17:20
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -10.97%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 17:20
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.49%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.71%EV -2.84%E -0.990%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.80%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 17:40
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV -10.97%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 17:20
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV -10.97%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 17:20
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV -10.97%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -4.00%E -1.65%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.28%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 17:20
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -4.00%E -1.65%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.28%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 17:20
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 40.09%EV -4.39%E -1.82%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.69%EV -2.50%E -0.869%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -1.43%E -0.387%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-06 17:40
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 17:20
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 17:25
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 17:39
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 17:25
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 17:25
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:30
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 17:20
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -13.67%E -5.36%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 17:20
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -13.67%E -5.36%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 17:20
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.00%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -8.36%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 17:40
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 17:20
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 17:25
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -5.89%E -2.12%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 17:20
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -5.89%E -2.12%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 17:20
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.30%EV -13.67%E -5.36%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.75%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 17:20
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.55%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -0.099%E -0.026%K -0.036%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 17:40
GTbets2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 17:20
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 16:10
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 17:24
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 17:20
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 17:20
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -1.43%E -0.387%K -0.530%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 17:25
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 17:40
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 17:40
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 17:00
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 17:01
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 17:25
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 17:25
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 16:50
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 17:25
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 17:24
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 17:25
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 17:25
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 17:20
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.40%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.94%EV -9.61%E -3.60%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 17:40
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -11.11%E -4.94%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 17:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -11.11%E -4.94%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -15.37%E -6.15%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -17.42%E -5.62%K -8.29%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-06 17:40
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-06 17:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.54%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.57%0.4%2026-04-06 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-04-06 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-04-06 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-04-06 17:30
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.69%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.60%1.6%2026-04-06 17:40
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-04-06 17:30