Szkoła Kursów

Arouca v Estoril

Początek: 2026-04-06 17:45 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

57 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Arouca (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 39.51%2.53kurs godziwy
EV -2.02%
Przewaga -0.816%
Kelly -1.37%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.48

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.57%39.54%39.42%40.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.202.382.392.4845.45%42.04%41.84%40.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Estoril (Goście)

Prognoza 33.85%2.95kurs godziwy
EV -1.83%
Przewaga -0.630%
Kelly -0.961%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.90

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
32.78%33.89%33.87%35.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.502.722.752.9040.00%36.78%36.36%34.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 26.64%3.75kurs godziwy
EV -0.099%
Przewaga -0.026%
Kelly -0.036%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.13%26.56%26.70%27.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.503.503.7532.26%28.59%28.57%26.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (57 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 39.16%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.83%E -0.630%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 17:20
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 39.16%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.83%E -0.630%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 17:20
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:20
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:20
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:20
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:20
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:20
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:20
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -10.97%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 17:20
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -2.02%E -0.816%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -10.97%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 17:20
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.49%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.71%EV -2.84%E -0.990%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.80%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 17:40
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV -10.97%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 17:20
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV -10.97%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 17:20
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV -10.97%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -4.00%E -1.65%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.28%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 17:20
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -4.00%E -1.65%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.28%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 17:20
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 40.09%EV -4.39%E -1.82%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.69%EV -2.50%E -0.869%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -1.43%E -0.387%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-06 17:40
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 17:20
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 17:25
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 17:39
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 17:25
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 17:25
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:30
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 17:20
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -13.67%E -5.36%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 17:20
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -13.67%E -5.36%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 17:20
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.00%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -8.36%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 17:40
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 17:20
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 17:25
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -5.89%E -2.12%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 17:20
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -5.89%E -2.12%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 17:20
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.30%EV -13.67%E -5.36%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.75%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 17:20
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.55%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -0.099%E -0.026%K -0.036%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 17:40
GTbets2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 17:20
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 16:10
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 17:24
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 17:20
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 17:20
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -1.43%E -0.387%K -0.530%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 17:25
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 17:40
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 17:40
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 17:00
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -4.09%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 17:01
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 17:25
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 17:25
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 16:50
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 17:25
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 17:24
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 17:25
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 17:25
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 17:20
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.40%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.94%EV -9.61%E -3.60%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.42%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 17:40
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -11.11%E -4.94%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 17:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -11.11%E -4.94%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -15.37%E -6.15%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -17.42%E -5.62%K -8.29%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-06 17:40
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-06 17:30
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.54%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.57%0.4%2026-04-06 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-04-06 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-04-06 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-04-06 17:30
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.69%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.60%1.6%2026-04-06 17:40
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-04-06 17:30