Oddsskolan

Arouca v Benfica

Matchstart: 2026-03-14 20:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

58 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Arouca (Hemma)

Prognos 10.02%9.98rättvist odds
EV +5.21%
Fördel +0.496%
Kelly +0.548%
Tillväxt +0.029%

med antagandet om högsta odds 10.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
8.68%10.17%9.91%11.65%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
8.009.249.5010.5012.50%10.83%10.53%9.52%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Benfica (Borta)

Prognos 73.29%1.36rättvist odds
EV -2.52%
Fördel -1.90%
Kelly -7.64%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
70.60%73.25%73.44%75.13%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.201.271.281.3383.33%78.55%78.13%75.19%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 16.69%5.99rättvist odds
EV +4.30%
Fördel +0.688%
Kelly +0.819%
Tillväxt +0.035%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.27%16.57%16.65%19.27%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
4.505.575.506.2522.22%17.95%18.18%16.00%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (58 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle10.14I 9.86%NM 9.48%EV +1.60%E +0.158%K +0.175%G +0.003%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.13%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.39%EV +4.30%E +0.688%K +0.819%G +0.035%4.0%2026-03-14 20:25
LowVig.ag10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV +0.199%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.03%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.37%EV +4.30%E +0.688%K +0.819%G +0.035%4.1%2026-03-14 20:20
BetOnline.ag10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV +0.199%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.03%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.37%EV +4.30%E +0.688%K +0.819%G +0.035%4.1%2026-03-14 20:20
Tipico (DE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.38%E -6.71%K -33.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +0.126%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:50
Sky Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -10.58%E -8.67%K -48.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV +0.126%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 20:25
Betclic (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.14%EV -1.54%E -0.262%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 14:14
FanDuel9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -9.12%E -7.35%K -37.99%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV -1.54%E -0.262%K -0.315%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 20:19
Winamax (DE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -19.84%E -2.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.78%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -1.54%E -0.262%K -0.315%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 20:25
1xBet9.45I 10.58%NM 10.26%EV -5.31%E -0.562%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.93%EV -2.52%E -1.90%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.81%EV -3.71%E -0.643%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 20:25
Coral8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06%EV -2.52%E -1.90%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -4.05%E -0.704%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 15:10
Fanatics9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -9.82%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -4.05%E -0.704%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 19:40
DraftKings9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -9.82%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -4.05%E -0.704%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 19:30
Bovada9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -7.32%E -0.791%K -0.887%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.63%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -4.05%E -0.704%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 20:15
BetUS9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -7.32%E -0.791%K -0.887%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.63%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -4.05%E -0.704%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:40
Marathon Bet9.70I 10.31%NM 9.62%EV -2.81%E -0.289%K -0.323%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -7.65%E -6.07%K -29.43%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.36%EV -4.88%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:45
ATG (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +0.199%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:10
Svenska Spel10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +0.199%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:10
Casumo9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 20:10
Grosvenor9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 20:10
TABtouch9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 20:10
BetRivers9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 20:10
betPARX9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 20:10
Bally Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 20:10
Winamax (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -19.84%E -2.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:15
PMU (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.42%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.59%EV -12.05%E -10.04%K -60.25%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.98%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 20:25
Coolbet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +0.199%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -4.72%E -3.63%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -2.52%E -1.90%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 15:15
Unibet (UK)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 20:25
BetMGM8.25I 12.12%NM 11.37%EV -17.34%E -2.10%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -3.99%E -3.04%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 15:14
Mr Green (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -9.82%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 20:00
Betr (AU)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 20:25
Everygame9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 19:29
Betway8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 19:39
888sport8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:25
William Hill8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:25
888sport (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:25
BoyleSports8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:20
Parions Sport (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -19.84%E -2.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -4.72%E -3.63%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 20:05
Unibet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.44%EV -7.65%E -6.07%K -29.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 20:10
Unibet (NL)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.44%EV -7.65%E -6.07%K -29.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 20:10
Unibet (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.44%EV -7.65%E -6.07%K -29.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.38%E -6.71%K -33.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 20:10
LiveScore Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.38%E -6.71%K -33.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 20:10
SportsBet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV +5.21%E +0.496%K +0.548%G +0.029%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -10.58%E -8.67%K -48.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 20:25
Paddy Power10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV +0.199%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -10.58%E -8.67%K -48.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 20:25
NetBet (FR)8.75I 11.43%NM 10.37%EV -12.33%E -1.41%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.14%EV -9.12%E -7.35%K -37.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.49%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 20:23
Betsson9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -1.80%E -0.184%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -9.89%E -1.83%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:20
NordicBet9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -1.80%E -0.184%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -9.89%E -1.83%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:20
Virgin Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -9.12%E -7.35%K -37.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -9.89%E -1.83%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 20:10
GTbets8.90I 11.24%NM 10.41%EV -10.82%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.25%EV -10.39%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 18:45
LeoVegas9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -9.82%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.06%EV -9.85%E -8.01%K -42.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -11.56%E -2.18%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-14 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -19.84%E -2.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -3.25%E -2.47%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -12.39%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 15:15
Neds8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -19.84%E -2.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -3.25%E -2.47%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -12.39%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 15:10
Bet Right9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -12.39%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:25
PointsBet (AU)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -12.39%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:25
PlayUp9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -9.82%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.15%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -12.39%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 19:40
Bet Victor9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.38%E -6.71%K -33.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -12.39%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 20:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 9.64%EV -9.82%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -10.58%E -8.67%K -48.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -24.91%E -5.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-14 20:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-03-14 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-03-14 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-03-14 20:25
Matchbook12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-03-14 20:20
Kalshi10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.45%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72%1.8%2026-03-14 20:25
Smarkets11.49I 8.70%NM 8.55%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.11%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%1.8%2026-03-14 20:20