Szkoła Kursów

Arouca v Benfica

Początek: 2026-03-14 20:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

58 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Arouca (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 10.02%9.98kurs godziwy
EV +5.21%
Przewaga +0.496%
Kelly +0.548%
Wzrost +0.029%

przy maksymalnym kursie 10.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
8.68%10.17%9.91%11.65%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
8.009.249.5010.5012.50%10.83%10.53%9.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Benfica (Goście)

Prognoza 73.29%1.36kurs godziwy
EV -2.52%
Przewaga -1.90%
Kelly -7.64%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.33

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
70.60%73.25%73.44%75.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.201.271.281.3383.33%78.55%78.13%75.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 16.69%5.99kurs godziwy
EV +4.30%
Przewaga +0.688%
Kelly +0.819%
Wzrost +0.035%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.27%16.57%16.65%19.27%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.505.575.506.2522.22%17.95%18.18%16.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (58 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle10.14I 9.86%NM 9.48%EV +1.60%E +0.158%K +0.175%G +0.003%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.13%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.39%EV +4.30%E +0.688%K +0.819%G +0.035%4.0%2026-03-14 20:25
LowVig.ag10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV +0.199%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.03%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.37%EV +4.30%E +0.688%K +0.819%G +0.035%4.1%2026-03-14 20:20
BetOnline.ag10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV +0.199%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.03%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.37%EV +4.30%E +0.688%K +0.819%G +0.035%4.1%2026-03-14 20:20
Tipico (DE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.38%E -6.71%K -33.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +0.126%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:50
Sky Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -10.58%E -8.67%K -48.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV +0.126%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 20:25
Betclic (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.14%EV -1.54%E -0.262%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 14:14
FanDuel9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -9.12%E -7.35%K -37.99%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV -1.54%E -0.262%K -0.315%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 20:19
Winamax (DE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -19.84%E -2.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.78%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -1.54%E -0.262%K -0.315%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 20:25
1xBet9.45I 10.58%NM 10.26%EV -5.31%E -0.562%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.93%EV -2.52%E -1.90%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.81%EV -3.71%E -0.643%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 20:25
Coral8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06%EV -2.52%E -1.90%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -4.05%E -0.704%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 15:10
Fanatics9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -9.82%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -4.05%E -0.704%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 19:40
DraftKings9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -9.82%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -4.05%E -0.704%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 19:30
Bovada9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -7.32%E -0.791%K -0.887%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.63%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -4.05%E -0.704%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 20:15
BetUS9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -7.32%E -0.791%K -0.887%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.63%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -4.05%E -0.704%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:40
Marathon Bet9.70I 10.31%NM 9.62%EV -2.81%E -0.289%K -0.323%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -7.65%E -6.07%K -29.43%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.36%EV -4.88%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:45
ATG (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +0.199%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:10
Svenska Spel10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +0.199%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:10
Casumo9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 20:10
Grosvenor9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 20:10
TABtouch9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 20:10
BetRivers9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 20:10
betPARX9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 20:10
Bally Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 20:10
Winamax (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -19.84%E -2.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:15
PMU (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.42%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.59%EV -12.05%E -10.04%K -60.25%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.98%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 20:25
Coolbet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +0.199%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -4.72%E -3.63%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -2.52%E -1.90%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 15:15
Unibet (UK)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 20:25
BetMGM8.25I 12.12%NM 11.37%EV -17.34%E -2.10%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -3.99%E -3.04%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 15:14
Mr Green (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -9.82%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 20:00
Betr (AU)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 20:25
Everygame9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 19:29
Betway8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 19:39
888sport8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:25
William Hill8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:25
888sport (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:25
BoyleSports8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:20
Parions Sport (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -19.84%E -2.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -4.72%E -3.63%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 20:05
Unibet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.44%EV -7.65%E -6.07%K -29.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 20:10
Unibet (NL)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.44%EV -7.65%E -6.07%K -29.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 20:10
Unibet (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.44%EV -7.65%E -6.07%K -29.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.38%E -6.71%K -33.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 20:10
LiveScore Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.38%E -6.71%K -33.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 20:10
SportsBet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV +5.21%E +0.496%K +0.548%G +0.029%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -10.58%E -8.67%K -48.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 20:25
Paddy Power10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV +0.199%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -10.58%E -8.67%K -48.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 20:25
NetBet (FR)8.75I 11.43%NM 10.37%EV -12.33%E -1.41%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.14%EV -9.12%E -7.35%K -37.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.49%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 20:23
Betsson9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -1.80%E -0.184%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -9.89%E -1.83%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:20
NordicBet9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -1.80%E -0.184%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -9.89%E -1.83%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:20
Virgin Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -9.12%E -7.35%K -37.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -9.89%E -1.83%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 20:10
GTbets8.90I 11.24%NM 10.41%EV -10.82%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.25%EV -10.39%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 18:45
LeoVegas9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -9.82%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.06%EV -9.85%E -8.01%K -42.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -11.56%E -2.18%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-14 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -19.84%E -2.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -3.25%E -2.47%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -12.39%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 15:15
Neds8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -19.84%E -2.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -3.25%E -2.47%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -12.39%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 15:10
Bet Right9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -12.39%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:25
PointsBet (AU)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -12.39%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:25
PlayUp9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -9.82%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.15%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -12.39%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 19:40
Bet Victor9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.38%E -6.71%K -33.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -12.39%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 20:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 9.64%EV -9.82%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -10.58%E -8.67%K -48.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -24.91%E -5.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-14 20:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-03-14 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-03-14 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-03-14 20:25
Matchbook12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-03-14 20:20
Kalshi10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.45%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72%1.8%2026-03-14 20:25
Smarkets11.49I 8.70%NM 8.55%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.11%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%1.8%2026-03-14 20:20