Die Schule der Quoten

Arouca v Benfica

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-14 20:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

58 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Arouca (Heim)

Prognose 10.02%9.98faire Quote
EV +5.21%
Vorteil +0.496%
Kelly +0.548%
Wachstum +0.029%

bei einer Höchstquote von 10.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
8.68%10.17%9.91%11.65%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
8.009.249.5010.5012.50%10.83%10.53%9.52%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Benfica (Auswärts)

Prognose 73.29%1.36faire Quote
EV -2.52%
Vorteil -1.90%
Kelly -7.64%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.33

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
70.60%73.25%73.44%75.13%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.201.271.281.3383.33%78.55%78.13%75.19%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 16.69%5.99faire Quote
EV +4.30%
Vorteil +0.688%
Kelly +0.819%
Wachstum +0.035%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.27%16.57%16.65%19.27%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.505.575.506.2522.22%17.95%18.18%16.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle10.14I 9.86%NM 9.48%EV +1.60%E +0.158%K +0.175%G +0.003%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.13%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.39%EV +4.30%E +0.688%K +0.819%G +0.035%4.0%2026-03-14 20:25
LowVig.ag10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV +0.199%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.03%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.37%EV +4.30%E +0.688%K +0.819%G +0.035%4.1%2026-03-14 20:20
BetOnline.ag10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV +0.199%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.03%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.37%EV +4.30%E +0.688%K +0.819%G +0.035%4.1%2026-03-14 20:20
Tipico (DE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.38%E -6.71%K -33.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +0.126%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:50
Sky Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -10.58%E -8.67%K -48.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV +0.126%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 20:25
Betclic (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.14%EV -1.54%E -0.262%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 14:14
FanDuel9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -9.12%E -7.35%K -37.99%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV -1.54%E -0.262%K -0.315%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 20:19
Winamax (DE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -19.84%E -2.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.78%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -1.54%E -0.262%K -0.315%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 20:25
1xBet9.45I 10.58%NM 10.26%EV -5.31%E -0.562%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.93%EV -2.52%E -1.90%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.81%EV -3.71%E -0.643%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 20:25
Coral8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06%EV -2.52%E -1.90%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -4.05%E -0.704%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 15:10
Fanatics9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -9.82%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -4.05%E -0.704%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 19:40
DraftKings9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -9.82%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -4.05%E -0.704%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 19:30
Bovada9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -7.32%E -0.791%K -0.887%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.63%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -4.05%E -0.704%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 20:15
BetUS9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -7.32%E -0.791%K -0.887%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.63%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -4.05%E -0.704%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:40
Marathon Bet9.70I 10.31%NM 9.62%EV -2.81%E -0.289%K -0.323%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -7.65%E -6.07%K -29.43%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.36%EV -4.88%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:45
ATG (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +0.199%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:10
Svenska Spel10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +0.199%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:10
Casumo9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 20:10
Grosvenor9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 20:10
TABtouch9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 20:10
BetRivers9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 20:10
betPARX9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 20:10
Bally Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 20:10
Winamax (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -19.84%E -2.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:15
PMU (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.42%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.59%EV -12.05%E -10.04%K -60.25%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.98%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 20:25
Coolbet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +0.199%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -4.72%E -3.63%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -2.52%E -1.90%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 15:15
Unibet (UK)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 20:25
BetMGM8.25I 12.12%NM 11.37%EV -17.34%E -2.10%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -3.99%E -3.04%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 15:14
Mr Green (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -9.82%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 20:00
Betr (AU)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 20:25
Everygame9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 19:29
Betway8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 19:39
888sport8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:25
William Hill8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:25
888sport (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:25
BoyleSports8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:20
Parions Sport (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -19.84%E -2.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -4.72%E -3.63%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 20:05
Unibet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.44%EV -7.65%E -6.07%K -29.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 20:10
Unibet (NL)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.44%EV -7.65%E -6.07%K -29.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 20:10
Unibet (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.44%EV -7.65%E -6.07%K -29.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.38%E -6.71%K -33.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 20:10
LiveScore Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.38%E -6.71%K -33.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 20:10
SportsBet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV +5.21%E +0.496%K +0.548%G +0.029%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -10.58%E -8.67%K -48.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 20:25
Paddy Power10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV +0.199%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -10.58%E -8.67%K -48.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 20:25
NetBet (FR)8.75I 11.43%NM 10.37%EV -12.33%E -1.41%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.14%EV -9.12%E -7.35%K -37.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.49%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 20:23
Betsson9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -1.80%E -0.184%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -9.89%E -1.83%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:20
NordicBet9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -1.80%E -0.184%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -9.89%E -1.83%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:20
Virgin Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -9.12%E -7.35%K -37.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -9.89%E -1.83%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 20:10
GTbets8.90I 11.24%NM 10.41%EV -10.82%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.25%EV -10.39%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 18:45
LeoVegas9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -9.82%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.06%EV -9.85%E -8.01%K -42.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -11.56%E -2.18%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-14 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -19.84%E -2.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -3.25%E -2.47%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -12.39%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 15:15
Neds8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -19.84%E -2.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -3.25%E -2.47%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -12.39%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 15:10
Bet Right9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -12.39%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:25
PointsBet (AU)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -12.39%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:25
PlayUp9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -9.82%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.15%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -12.39%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 19:40
Bet Victor9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.38%E -6.71%K -33.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -12.39%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 20:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 9.64%EV -9.82%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -10.58%E -8.67%K -48.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -24.91%E -5.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-14 20:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-03-14 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-03-14 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-03-14 20:25
Matchbook12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-03-14 20:20
Kalshi10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.45%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72%1.8%2026-03-14 20:25
Smarkets11.49I 8.70%NM 8.55%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.11%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%1.8%2026-03-14 20:20