Школа коэффициентов

Arouca v Benfica

Начало: 2026-03-14 20:30 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Arouca (Хозяева)

Прогноз 10.02%9.98справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.21%
Преимущество +0.496%
Kelly +0.548%
Рост +0.029%

при максимальном коэффициенте 10.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
8.68%10.17%9.91%11.65%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
8.009.249.5010.5012.50%10.83%10.53%9.52%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Benfica (Гости)

Прогноз 73.29%1.36справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.52%
Преимущество -1.90%
Kelly -7.64%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.33

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
70.60%73.25%73.44%75.13%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.201.271.281.3383.33%78.55%78.13%75.19%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 16.69%5.99справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.30%
Преимущество +0.688%
Kelly +0.819%
Рост +0.035%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.27%16.57%16.65%19.27%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.505.575.506.2522.22%17.95%18.18%16.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичья ▼МаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle10.14I 9.86%NM 9.48%EV +1.60%E +0.158%K +0.175%G +0.003%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.13%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.39%EV +4.30%E +0.688%K +0.819%G +0.035%4.0%2026-03-14 20:25
LowVig.ag10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV +0.199%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.03%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.37%EV +4.30%E +0.688%K +0.819%G +0.035%4.1%2026-03-14 20:20
BetOnline.ag10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV +0.199%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.03%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.37%EV +4.30%E +0.688%K +0.819%G +0.035%4.1%2026-03-14 20:20
Tipico (DE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.38%E -6.71%K -33.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +0.126%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:50
Sky Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -10.58%E -8.67%K -48.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV +0.126%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 20:25
Betclic (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.14%EV -1.54%E -0.262%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 14:14
FanDuel9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -9.12%E -7.35%K -37.99%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV -1.54%E -0.262%K -0.315%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 20:19
Winamax (DE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -19.84%E -2.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.78%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -1.54%E -0.262%K -0.315%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 20:25
1xBet9.45I 10.58%NM 10.26%EV -5.31%E -0.562%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.93%EV -2.52%E -1.90%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.81%EV -3.71%E -0.643%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 20:25
Coral8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06%EV -2.52%E -1.90%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -4.05%E -0.704%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 15:10
Fanatics9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -9.82%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -4.05%E -0.704%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 19:40
DraftKings9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -9.82%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -4.05%E -0.704%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 19:30
Bovada9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -7.32%E -0.791%K -0.887%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.63%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -4.05%E -0.704%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 20:15
BetUS9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -7.32%E -0.791%K -0.887%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.63%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -4.05%E -0.704%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:40
Marathon Bet9.70I 10.31%NM 9.62%EV -2.81%E -0.289%K -0.323%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -7.65%E -6.07%K -29.43%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.36%EV -4.88%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:45
ATG (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +0.199%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:10
Svenska Spel10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +0.199%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:10
Casumo9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 20:10
Grosvenor9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 20:10
TABtouch9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 20:10
BetRivers9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 20:10
betPARX9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 20:10
Bally Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 20:10
Winamax (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -19.84%E -2.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:15
PMU (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.42%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.59%EV -12.05%E -10.04%K -60.25%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.98%EV -6.55%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 20:25
Coolbet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +0.199%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -4.72%E -3.63%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -2.52%E -1.90%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 15:15
Unibet (UK)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 20:25
BetMGM8.25I 12.12%NM 11.37%EV -17.34%E -2.10%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -3.99%E -3.04%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 15:14
Mr Green (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -9.82%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 20:00
Betr (AU)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 20:25
Everygame9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 19:29
Betway8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 19:39
888sport8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:25
William Hill8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:25
888sport (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:25
BoyleSports8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -14.83%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:20
Parions Sport (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -19.84%E -2.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -4.72%E -3.63%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 20:05
Unibet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.44%EV -7.65%E -6.07%K -29.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 20:10
Unibet (NL)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.44%EV -7.65%E -6.07%K -29.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 20:10
Unibet (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.44%EV -7.65%E -6.07%K -29.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.38%E -6.71%K -33.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 20:10
LiveScore Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.38%E -6.71%K -33.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 20:10
SportsBet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV +5.21%E +0.496%K +0.548%G +0.029%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -10.58%E -8.67%K -48.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 20:25
Paddy Power10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV +0.199%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -10.58%E -8.67%K -48.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 20:25
NetBet (FR)8.75I 11.43%NM 10.37%EV -12.33%E -1.41%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.14%EV -9.12%E -7.35%K -37.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.49%EV -8.22%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 20:23
Betsson9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -1.80%E -0.184%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -9.89%E -1.83%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:20
NordicBet9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -1.80%E -0.184%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -9.89%E -1.83%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:20
Virgin Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -9.12%E -7.35%K -37.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -9.89%E -1.83%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 20:10
GTbets8.90I 11.24%NM 10.41%EV -10.82%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.25%EV -10.39%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 18:45
LeoVegas9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -9.82%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.06%EV -9.85%E -8.01%K -42.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -11.56%E -2.18%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-14 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -19.84%E -2.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -3.25%E -2.47%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -12.39%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 15:15
Neds8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -19.84%E -2.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -3.25%E -2.47%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -12.39%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 15:10
Bet Right9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -12.39%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:25
PointsBet (AU)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -12.39%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:25
PlayUp9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -9.82%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.15%EV -6.19%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -12.39%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 19:40
Bet Victor9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -4.81%E -0.506%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.38%E -6.71%K -33.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -12.39%E -2.36%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 20:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 9.64%EV -9.82%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -10.58%E -8.67%K -48.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -24.91%E -5.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-14 20:20
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-03-14 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-03-14 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-03-14 20:25
Matchbook12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%0.9%2026-03-14 20:20
Kalshi10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.45%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72%1.8%2026-03-14 20:25
Smarkets11.49I 8.70%NM 8.55%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.11%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%1.8%2026-03-14 20:20