Language:English
Zagłębie Lubin v Pogoń Szczecin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zagłębie Lubin (Local)
Prediction 32.76%3.05fair odd
EV -0.079%
Edge -0.026%
Kelly -0.038%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.61%32.67%32.62%38.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.772.803.0542.92%36.17%35.71%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pogoń Szczecin (Visit)
Prediction 38.77%2.58fair odd
EV +10.51%
Edge +3.69%
Kelly +5.68%
Growth +0.597%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.93%38.81%38.78%40.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.222.402.382.8545.05%41.72%42.02%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.46%3.51fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -0.947%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.14%28.52%28.60%31.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.213.203.4033.90%31.14%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zagłębie Lubin (Local): 32.76%; Pogoń Szczecin (Visit): 38.77%; Draw: 28.46%. For Pogoń Szczecin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.51%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -20.39%E -8.39%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV +10.51%E +3.69%K +5.68%G +0.597% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.42%EV -23.67%E -10.16%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV +4.69%E +1.74%K +2.76%G +0.129% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -10.34%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.21%EV -6.30%E -2.20%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.39%EV -1.51%E -0.596%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.40%EV -8.06%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 17:46 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 18:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 18:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 17:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -13.18%E -4.97%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.20%EV -5.78%E -2.38%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.34%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 17:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.93%EV -6.17%E -2.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.76%EV -6.17%E -2.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -10.34%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 17:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.76%EV -6.17%E -2.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -10.34%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 17:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -0.079%E -0.026%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.92%EV -6.55%E -2.72%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.54%EV -4.07%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-29 18:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 17:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -1.72%E -0.572%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -16.03%E -5.43%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.54%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 17:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.31%EV -13.84%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -7.72%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -14.17%E -5.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -7.72%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 17:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -13.84%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -7.72%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.54%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -8.11%E -3.42%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.54%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -8.11%E -3.42%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -0.079%E -0.026%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.00%EV -8.49%E -3.60%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -0.079%E -0.026%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.00%EV -8.49%E -3.60%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.54%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.83%EV -13.18%E -4.97%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 17:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -13.18%E -4.97%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.98%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -10.34%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -13.84%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -13.84%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -13.84%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -13.84%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 18:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.46%EV -4.01%E -1.37%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -10.04%E -4.33%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 17:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.46%EV -4.01%E -1.37%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -10.04%E -4.33%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.19%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.13%EV -10.43%E -4.52%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -10.82%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 18:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -10.82%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 18:08 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -10.82%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -10.82%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.82%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.54%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.82%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 32.34%EV -10.56%E -3.87%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.72%EV -11.59%E -5.09%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.94%EV -13.18%E -4.32%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.66%EV -14.17%E -5.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.20%EV -12.76%E -5.67%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.40%EV -13.92%E -6.27%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 32.34% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 37.37% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.30% | -0.9% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.81% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.81% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.14% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |