Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Zagłębie Lubin v Pogoń Szczecin

Início: 2026-08-29 18:15 UTC

Final: Zagłębie Lubin 0–0 Pogoń Szczecin

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Zagłębie Lubin (Local)

Previsão 32.76%3.05odd justa
EV -0.079%
Vantagem -0.026%
Kelly -0.038%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.61%32.67%32.62%38.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.332.772.803.0542.92%36.17%35.71%32.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pogoń Szczecin (Visitante)

Previsão 38.77%2.58odd justa
EV +10.51%
Vantagem +3.69%
Kelly +5.68%
Crescimento +0.597%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.93%38.81%38.78%40.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.222.402.382.8545.05%41.72%42.02%35.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.46%3.51odd justa
EV -3.22%
Vantagem -0.947%
Kelly -1.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.14%28.52%28.60%31.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.213.203.4033.90%31.14%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Zagłębie Lubin (Local): 32.76%; Pogoń Szczecin (Visitante): 38.77%; Empate: 28.46%. Para Pogoń Szczecin (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.58. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.85, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +10.51%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -20.39%E -8.39%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV +10.51%E +3.69%K +5.68%G +0.597%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 18:10
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.42%EV -23.67%E -10.16%K -17.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV +4.69%E +1.74%K +2.76%G +0.129%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -10.34%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 18:10
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.21%EV -6.30%E -2.20%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.39%EV -1.51%E -0.596%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.40%EV -8.06%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:05
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 17:46
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:00
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:00
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:00
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 17:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 17:55
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -13.18%E -4.97%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.20%EV -5.78%E -2.38%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.34%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 17:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.93%EV -6.17%E -2.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 17:55
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.76%EV -6.17%E -2.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -10.34%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 17:54
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.76%EV -6.17%E -2.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -10.34%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 17:55
Pinnacle🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -0.079%E -0.026%K -0.038%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.92%EV -6.55%E -2.72%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.54%EV -4.07%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 18:00
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:45
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 17:50
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -1.72%E -0.572%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -16.03%E -5.43%K -8.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 18:05
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.54%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 17:50
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.31%EV -13.84%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -7.72%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 18:05
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -14.17%E -5.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -7.72%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 17:50
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -13.84%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -7.72%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 17:50
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.54%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -8.11%E -3.42%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.54%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -8.11%E -3.42%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -0.079%E -0.026%K -0.038%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.00%EV -8.49%E -3.60%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -0.079%E -0.026%K -0.038%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.00%EV -8.49%E -3.60%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:00
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.54%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.83%EV -13.18%E -4.97%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 17:55
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -13.18%E -4.97%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.98%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -10.34%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -13.84%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -13.84%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 18:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -13.84%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -13.84%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 18:00
Bovada🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.46%EV -4.01%E -1.37%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -10.04%E -4.33%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 17:58
BetUS🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.46%EV -4.01%E -1.37%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -10.04%E -4.33%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.19%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.13%EV -10.43%E -4.52%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 18:00
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -10.82%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 18:00
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -10.82%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 18:08
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -10.82%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 18:10
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -10.82%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 18:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.82%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.54%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.82%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 32.34%EV -10.56%E -3.87%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.72%EV -11.59%E -5.09%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.94%EV -13.18%E -4.32%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 18:00
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.66%EV -14.17%E -5.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.20%EV -12.76%E -5.67%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-29 18:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.40%EV -13.92%E -6.27%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-29 18:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 32.34%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.37%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.30%-0.9%2026-08-29 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.81%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66%0.7%2026-08-29 18:10
Matchbook◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.81%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66%0.7%2026-08-29 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%1.0%2026-08-29 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%1.0%2026-08-29 18:10
Smarkets◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.14%2.1%2026-08-29 18:05