Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Zagłębie Lubin v Pogoń Szczecin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 18:15 UTC

Score final : Zagłębie Lubin 0–0 Pogoń Szczecin

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Zagłębie Lubin (Local)

Prévision 32.76%3.05cote équitable
EV -0.079%
Avantage -0.026%
Kelly -0.038%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.61%32.67%32.62%38.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.332.772.803.0542.92%36.17%35.71%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pogoń Szczecin (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.77%2.58cote équitable
EV +10.51%
Avantage +3.69%
Kelly +5.68%
Croissance +0.597%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.93%38.81%38.78%40.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.222.402.382.8545.05%41.72%42.02%35.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.46%3.51cote équitable
EV -3.22%
Avantage -0.947%
Kelly -1.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.14%28.52%28.60%31.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.213.203.4033.90%31.14%31.25%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Zagłębie Lubin (Local) : 32.76% ; Pogoń Szczecin (Visiteur) : 38.77% ; Match nul : 28.46%. Pour Pogoń Szczecin (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.58. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.85, soit une espérance positive de +10.51%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -20.39%E -8.39%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV +10.51%E +3.69%K +5.68%G +0.597%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 18:10
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.42%EV -23.67%E -10.16%K -17.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV +4.69%E +1.74%K +2.76%G +0.129%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -10.34%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 18:10
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.21%EV -6.30%E -2.20%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.39%EV -1.51%E -0.596%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.40%EV -8.06%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:05
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 17:46
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:00
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:00
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:00
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 17:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 17:55
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -13.18%E -4.97%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.20%EV -5.78%E -2.38%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.34%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 17:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.93%EV -6.17%E -2.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 17:55
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.76%EV -6.17%E -2.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -10.34%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 17:54
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.76%EV -6.17%E -2.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -10.34%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 17:55
Pinnacle🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -0.079%E -0.026%K -0.038%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.92%EV -6.55%E -2.72%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.54%EV -4.07%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 18:00
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -4.99%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:45
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 17:50
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -1.72%E -0.572%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -16.03%E -5.43%K -8.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 18:05
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.54%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 17:50
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.31%EV -13.84%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -7.72%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 18:05
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -14.17%E -5.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -7.72%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 17:50
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -13.84%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -7.72%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 17:50
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.54%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -8.11%E -3.42%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.54%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -8.11%E -3.42%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -0.079%E -0.026%K -0.038%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.00%EV -8.49%E -3.60%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -0.079%E -0.026%K -0.038%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.00%EV -8.49%E -3.60%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:00
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.54%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.83%EV -13.18%E -4.97%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 17:55
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -13.18%E -4.97%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.98%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -10.34%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -13.84%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -13.84%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 18:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -13.84%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -13.84%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 18:00
Bovada🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.46%EV -4.01%E -1.37%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -10.04%E -4.33%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 17:58
BetUS🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.46%EV -4.01%E -1.37%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -10.04%E -4.33%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.19%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.13%EV -10.43%E -4.52%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 18:00
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -10.82%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 18:00
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -10.82%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 18:08
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -10.82%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 18:10
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -10.82%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 18:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.82%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.54%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.82%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 32.34%EV -10.56%E -3.87%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.72%EV -11.59%E -5.09%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.94%EV -13.18%E -4.32%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 18:00
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.66%EV -14.17%E -5.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.20%EV -12.76%E -5.67%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-29 18:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.39%EV -11.54%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.40%EV -13.92%E -6.27%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-29 18:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 32.34%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.37%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.30%-0.9%2026-08-29 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.81%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66%0.7%2026-08-29 18:10
Matchbook◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.81%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66%0.7%2026-08-29 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%1.0%2026-08-29 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%1.0%2026-08-29 18:10
Smarkets◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.14%2.1%2026-08-29 18:05