Language:English
Zagłębie Lubin v GKS Katowice
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zagłębie Lubin (Local)
Prediction 35.02%2.86fair odd
EV -0.180%
Edge -0.063%
Kelly -0.097%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.83%35.07%34.95%37.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.592.602.8541.15%38.66%38.46%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
GKS Katowice (Visit)
Prediction 37.19%2.69fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.541%
Kelly -0.869%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.84%37.13%37.23%38.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.492.502.6543.48%40.12%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.78%3.60fair odd
EV +0.010%
Edge +0.003%
Kelly +0.004%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.53%27.80%27.82%29.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.293.303.6032.26%30.40%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zagłębie Lubin (Local): 35.02%; GKS Katowice (Visit): 37.19%; Draw: 27.78%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.5996. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.6000, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.010%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -2.77%E -0.791%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.79%EV -0.180%E -0.063%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.37%EV -6.64%E -2.65%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.84%EV -3.88%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -1.43%E -0.541%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.43%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 17:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-07 16:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-12 17:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-12 17:53 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-12 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -7.18%E -2.71%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 18:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.21%EV -5.08%E -1.88%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.69%EV -8.50%E -3.46%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -4.73%E -1.74%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.70%EV -4.03%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.32%EV -10.36%E -4.30%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 18:11 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-12 18:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -5.43%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-12 17:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.18%E -2.71%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -14.19%E -5.79%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-12 15:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-12 17:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.43%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.43%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.43%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -6.27%E -2.49%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 17:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -6.27%E -2.49%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 18:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -7.18%E -2.71%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.28%EV -14.89%E -6.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 17:31 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -14.19%E -5.79%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 17:46 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 17:46 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.87%EV -14.89%E -6.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -14.19%E -5.79%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -14.19%E -5.79%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -14.45%E -6.28%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-12 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -14.45%E -6.28%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-09-12 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -13.14%E -5.30%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.49%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -13.14%E -5.30%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.49%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -13.14%E -5.30%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.49%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -13.14%E -5.30%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.49%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.81%EV -11.74%E -4.66%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -12.59%E -5.36%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -12.49%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-12 17:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -12.59%E -5.36%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -12.49%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-12 18:06 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -1.93%E -0.690%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -13.88%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-12 18:06 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 18:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 18:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.13% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.11% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.41% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.48% | 2.5% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.57% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.52% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.91% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 18:06 |