Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Zagłębie Lubin (Local): 35.02%; GKS Katowice (Visitante): 37.19%; Empate: 27.78%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.5996. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.6000, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.010%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -2.77%E -0.791%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.79%EV -0.180%E -0.063%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.37%EV -6.64%E -2.65%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.84%EV -3.88%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -1.43%E -0.541%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.43%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 17:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-07 16:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-12 17:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-12 17:53 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-12 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -7.18%E -2.71%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 18:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.21%EV -5.08%E -1.88%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.69%EV -8.50%E -3.46%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -4.73%E -1.74%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.70%EV -4.03%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.32%EV -10.36%E -4.30%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 18:11 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-12 18:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -5.43%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-12 17:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.18%E -2.71%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -14.19%E -5.79%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-12 15:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-12 17:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.43%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.43%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.43%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -6.27%E -2.49%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 17:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -6.27%E -2.49%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 18:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -7.18%E -2.71%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.28%EV -14.89%E -6.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 17:31 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -14.19%E -5.79%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 17:46 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 17:46 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.87%EV -14.89%E -6.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -14.19%E -5.79%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -14.19%E -5.79%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -14.45%E -6.28%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-12 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -14.45%E -6.28%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-09-12 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -13.14%E -5.30%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.49%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -13.14%E -5.30%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.49%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -13.14%E -5.30%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.49%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -13.14%E -5.30%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.49%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.81%EV -11.74%E -4.66%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -12.59%E -5.36%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -12.49%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-12 17:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -12.59%E -5.36%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -12.49%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-12 18:06 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -1.93%E -0.690%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -13.88%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-12 18:06 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 18:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 18:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.13% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.11% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.41% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.48% | 2.5% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.57% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.52% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.91% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 18:06 |