Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Zagłębie Lubin v GKS Katowice

Początek: 2026-09-12 18:15 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Zagłębie Lubin 2–1 GKS Katowice

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Zagłębie Lubin (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 35.02%2.86kurs godziwy
EV -0.180%
Przewaga -0.063%
Kelly -0.097%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.85

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
32.83%35.07%34.95%37.28%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.432.592.602.8541.15%38.66%38.46%35.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

GKS Katowice (Goście)

Prognoza 37.19%2.69kurs godziwy
EV -1.43%
Przewaga -0.541%
Kelly -0.869%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.65

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.84%37.13%37.23%38.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.492.502.6543.48%40.12%40.00%37.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 27.78%3.60kurs godziwy
EV +0.010%
Przewaga +0.003%
Kelly +0.004%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.53%27.80%27.82%29.65%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.293.303.6032.26%30.40%30.30%27.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Zagłębie Lubin (Gospodarze): 35.02%; GKS Katowice (Goście): 37.19%; Remis: 27.78%. Dla wyniku Remis oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.5996. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.6000, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.010%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:05
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -2.77%E -0.791%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Pinnacle🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.79%EV -0.180%E -0.063%K -0.097%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.37%EV -6.64%E -2.65%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.84%EV -3.88%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 18:10
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -1.43%E -0.541%K -0.869%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 14:20
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.43%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 17:45
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 14:20
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 16:25
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 16:05
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 17:54
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 17:53
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:10
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:10
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-12 17:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -7.18%E -2.71%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 18:01
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.21%EV -5.08%E -1.88%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.69%EV -8.50%E -3.46%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -4.73%E -1.74%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 18:10
Bovada🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 33.70%EV -4.03%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.32%EV -10.36%E -4.30%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 18:11
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 18:01
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -5.43%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 17:50
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.18%E -2.71%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 18:01
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -14.19%E -5.79%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-12 17:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.43%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.43%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:10
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.43%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:10
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -6.27%E -2.49%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 17:59
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -6.27%E -2.49%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 18:01
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -7.18%E -2.71%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 18:10
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.28%EV -14.89%E -6.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 17:31
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -14.19%E -5.79%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 14:20
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 17:46
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 17:46
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.87%EV -14.89%E -6.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -14.19%E -5.79%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -14.19%E -5.79%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -14.45%E -6.28%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-12 18:00
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -14.45%E -6.28%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-12 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -13.14%E -5.30%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.49%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 18:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -13.14%E -5.30%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.49%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -13.14%E -5.30%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.49%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -13.14%E -5.30%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.49%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 34.81%EV -11.74%E -4.66%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -12.59%E -5.36%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -12.49%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-12 17:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -12.59%E -5.36%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -12.49%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-12 18:06
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -1.93%E -0.690%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -13.88%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 18:06
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51%1.0%2026-09-12 18:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51%1.0%2026-09-12 18:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51%1.0%2026-09-12 18:05
Matchbook◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.13%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-09-12 18:10
Smarkets◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.11%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.48%2.5%2026-09-12 18:10
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 35.57%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.52%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.91%4.1%2026-09-12 18:06