默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Zagłębie Lubin v GKS Katowice

开赛时间: 2026-09-12 18:15 UTC

最终结果: Zagłębie Lubin 2–1 GKS Katowice

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

53 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Zagłębie Lubin (主队)

预测 35.02%2.86公平赔率
EV -0.180%
优势 -0.063%
Kelly -0.097%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.85

博彩公司预测分布
32.83%35.07%34.95%37.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.432.592.602.8541.15%38.66%38.46%35.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

GKS Katowice (客队)

预测 37.19%2.69公平赔率
EV -1.43%
优势 -0.541%
Kelly -0.869%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.65

博彩公司预测分布
34.84%37.13%37.23%38.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.492.502.6543.48%40.12%40.00%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.78%3.60公平赔率
EV +0.010%
优势 +0.003%
Kelly +0.004%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.53%27.80%27.82%29.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.293.303.6032.26%30.40%30.30%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Zagłębie Lubin (主队):35.02%;GKS Katowice (客队):37.19%;平局:27.78%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.5996。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.6000,对应+0.010%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 16:05
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -2.77%E -0.791%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Pinnacle🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.79%EV -0.180%E -0.063%K -0.097%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.37%EV -6.64%E -2.65%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.84%EV -3.88%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 18:10
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -1.43%E -0.541%K -0.869%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 14:20
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.43%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 17:45
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 14:20
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 16:25
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 16:05
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 17:54
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 17:53
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:10
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:10
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.76%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-12 17:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -7.18%E -2.71%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 18:01
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.21%EV -5.08%E -1.88%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.69%EV -8.50%E -3.46%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -4.73%E -1.74%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 18:10
Bovada🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 33.70%EV -4.03%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.32%EV -10.36%E -4.30%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 18:11
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 18:01
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -5.43%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 17:50
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.18%E -2.71%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 18:01
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -14.19%E -5.79%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-12 17:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.43%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.43%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:10
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.43%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:10
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -6.27%E -2.49%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 17:59
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -6.27%E -2.49%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 18:01
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -7.18%E -2.71%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 18:10
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.28%EV -14.89%E -6.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 17:31
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -14.19%E -5.79%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 14:20
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 17:46
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.24%E -3.14%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 17:46
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.87%EV -14.89%E -6.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -14.19%E -5.79%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -14.19%E -5.79%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -7.01%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -14.45%E -6.28%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-12 18:00
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -14.45%E -6.28%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-12 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -13.14%E -5.30%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.49%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 18:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -13.14%E -5.30%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.49%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -13.14%E -5.30%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.49%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -13.14%E -5.30%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.49%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 34.81%EV -11.74%E -4.66%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -12.59%E -5.36%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -12.49%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-12 17:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -12.59%E -5.36%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -12.49%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-12 18:06
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -1.93%E -0.690%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -13.88%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 18:06
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51%1.0%2026-09-12 18:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51%1.0%2026-09-12 18:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51%1.0%2026-09-12 18:05
Matchbook◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.13%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-09-12 18:10
Smarkets◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.11%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.48%2.5%2026-09-12 18:10
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 35.57%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.52%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.91%4.1%2026-09-12 18:06