Language:English
Wisła Płock v Lechia Gdańsk
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wisła Płock (Local)
Prediction 33.23%3.01fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.23%33.26%33.21%34.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.732.752.8939.22%36.61%36.36%34.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lechia Gdańsk (Visit)
Prediction 39.42%2.54fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.16%39.43%39.46%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.342.352.4745.45%42.67%42.55%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.35%3.66fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.424%
Kelly -0.588%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.97%27.32%27.33%28.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.363.353.6031.75%29.80%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wisła Płock (Local): 33.23%; Lechia Gdańsk (Visit): 39.42%; Draw: 27.35%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -1.53%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.30%EV -3.96%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.96%EV -2.64%E -1.07%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.74%EV -5.08%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-10 15:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV -4.30%E -1.49%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.39%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.66%EV -2.62%E -0.736%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 15:53 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.64%EV -5.63%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.61%EV -7.77%E -3.32%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -8.64%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.55%EV -5.96%E -2.11%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.54%EV -8.16%E -3.50%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 15:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.53%E -0.424%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 15:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -1.53%E -0.424%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 10:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 11:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -11.31%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -7.62%E -2.74%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.26%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-10 10:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -7.62%E -2.74%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.26%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-10 10:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.13%EV -8.28%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.74%EV -6.98%E -2.96%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.13%EV -8.28%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.74%EV -6.98%E -2.96%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 15:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.22%EV -7.77%E -3.32%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 10:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 15:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 15:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.22%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.22%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.22%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 15:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.22%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.22%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-10 15:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-10 10:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -13.28%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -13.28%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -11.31%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.04%EV -10.94%E -4.08%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.71%EV -12.10%E -5.43%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-10 15:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -11.94%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -11.94%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -11.94%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-10 15:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -11.94%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -13.28%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.29%EV -12.60%E -4.79%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -13.60%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.27%EV -8.16%E -3.50%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -13.60%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -11.31%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -13.60%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -13.28%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-10 10:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.25%EV -13.60%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.30%EV -13.28%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.45%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-10 15:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -15.26%E -5.99%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.90% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.86% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.24% | 2.0% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19% | 3.0% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |