A Escola das Odds

Wisła Płock v Lechia Gdańsk

Início: 2026-04-10 16:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Wisła Płock (Local)

Previsão 33.23%3.01odd justa
EV -3.96%
Vantagem -1.37%
Kelly -2.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.89

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.23%33.26%33.21%34.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.552.732.752.8939.22%36.61%36.36%34.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Lechia Gdańsk (Visitante)

Previsão 39.42%2.54odd justa
EV -2.64%
Vantagem -1.07%
Kelly -1.80%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.16%39.43%39.46%40.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.342.352.4745.45%42.67%42.55%40.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.35%3.66odd justa
EV -1.53%
Vantagem -0.424%
Kelly -0.588%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.97%27.32%27.33%28.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.153.363.353.6031.75%29.80%29.85%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.89I 34.60%NM 33.30%EV -3.96%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.96%EV -2.64%E -1.07%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.74%EV -5.08%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 15:45
1xBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV -4.30%E -1.49%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.39%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.66%EV -2.62%E -0.736%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 15:55
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 15:35
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 15:53
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 14:00
Marathon Bet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.64%EV -5.63%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.61%EV -7.77%E -3.32%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -8.64%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 15:55
BetUS2.83I 35.34%NM 32.55%EV -5.96%E -2.11%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.54%EV -8.16%E -3.50%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 15:54
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.53%E -0.424%K -0.588%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 15:49
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -1.53%E -0.424%K -0.588%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 15:55
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 10:09
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 11:25
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -11.31%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 15:55
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -7.62%E -2.74%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.26%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 10:09
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -7.62%E -2.74%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.26%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 10:10
BetOnline.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 33.13%EV -8.28%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.74%EV -6.98%E -2.96%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 15:35
LowVig.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 33.13%EV -8.28%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.74%EV -6.98%E -2.96%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 15:35
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 15:15
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 15:15
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 15:15
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 15:20
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.22%EV -7.77%E -3.32%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 10:29
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 15:30
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 15:30
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 15:30
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 15:14
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 15:55
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 15:55
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.22%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 15:15
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.22%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 15:20
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.22%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 15:20
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.22%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 15:15
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.22%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 15:15
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 15:15
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 15:49
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 10:09
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 15:55
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -13.28%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-10 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -13.28%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-10 15:55
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -11.31%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-10 15:55
Betclic (FR)2.68I 37.31%NM 33.04%EV -10.94%E -4.08%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.71%EV -12.10%E -5.43%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-10 15:39
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -11.94%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -11.94%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 15:15
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -11.94%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 15:50
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -11.94%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -13.28%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-10 15:35
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.29%EV -12.60%E -4.79%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-10 15:15
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -13.60%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.27%EV -8.16%E -3.50%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-10 15:15
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -13.60%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -11.31%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-10 15:35
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -13.60%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -13.28%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-10 10:09
NetBet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.25%EV -13.60%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.30%EV -13.28%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.45%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-10 15:40
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -15.26%E -5.99%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-10 15:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-10 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-10 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-10 15:55
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-10 15:55
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.90%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.24%2.0%2026-04-10 15:55
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-04-10 15:55