La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Wisła Płock v Lechia Gdańsk
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Wisła Płock (Local)
Predicción 33.23%3.01momio equitativo
EV -3.96%
Ventaja -1.37%
Kelly -2.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.89
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.23%33.26%33.21%34.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.732.752.8939.22%36.61%36.36%34.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lechia Gdańsk (Visitante)
Predicción 39.42%2.54momio equitativo
EV -2.64%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.16%39.43%39.46%40.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.342.352.4745.45%42.67%42.55%40.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.35%3.66momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -0.424%
Kelly -0.588%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.97%27.32%27.33%28.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.363.353.6031.75%29.80%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.30%EV -3.96%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.96%EV -2.64%E -1.07%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.74%EV -5.08%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-10 15:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV -4.30%E -1.49%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.39%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.66%EV -2.62%E -0.736%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 15:53 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.64%EV -5.63%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.61%EV -7.77%E -3.32%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -8.64%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| BetUS | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.55%EV -5.96%E -2.11%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.54%EV -8.16%E -3.50%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 15:54 |
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.53%E -0.424%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 15:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -1.53%E -0.424%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 10:09 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 11:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -11.31%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| Betsson | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -7.62%E -2.74%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.26%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-10 10:09 |
| NordicBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -7.62%E -2.74%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.26%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-10 10:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.13%EV -8.28%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.74%EV -6.98%E -2.96%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.13%EV -8.28%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.74%EV -6.98%E -2.96%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 15:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.22%EV -7.77%E -3.32%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 10:29 |
| 888sport | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 15:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 15:14 |
| SportsBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.22%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.22%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.22%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 15:20 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.22%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.22%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| Bet Right | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-10 15:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-10 10:09 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| Coral | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -13.28%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -13.28%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -11.31%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.04%EV -10.94%E -4.08%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.71%EV -12.10%E -5.43%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-10 15:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -11.94%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -11.94%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -11.94%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-10 15:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -11.94%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -13.28%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.29%EV -12.60%E -4.79%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -13.60%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.27%EV -8.16%E -3.50%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -13.60%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -11.31%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-10 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -13.60%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -13.28%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-10 10:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.25%EV -13.60%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.30%EV -13.28%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.45%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-10 15:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -15.26%E -5.99%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-10 15:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.90% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.86% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.24% | 2.0% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| Kalshi | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19% | 3.0% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |