L’École des cotes

Wisła Płock v Lechia Gdańsk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-10 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Wisła Płock (Local)

Prévision 33.23%3.01cote équitable
EV -3.96%
Avantage -1.37%
Kelly -2.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.23%33.26%33.21%34.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.732.752.8939.22%36.61%36.36%34.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Lechia Gdańsk (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.42%2.54cote équitable
EV -2.64%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -1.80%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.16%39.43%39.46%40.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.342.352.4745.45%42.67%42.55%40.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.35%3.66cote équitable
EV -1.53%
Avantage -0.424%
Kelly -0.588%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.97%27.32%27.33%28.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.363.353.6031.75%29.80%29.85%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.89I 34.60%NM 33.30%EV -3.96%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.96%EV -2.64%E -1.07%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.74%EV -5.08%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 15:45
1xBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV -4.30%E -1.49%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.39%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.66%EV -2.62%E -0.736%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 15:55
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 15:35
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 15:53
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 14:00
Marathon Bet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.64%EV -5.63%E -1.98%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.61%EV -7.77%E -3.32%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -8.64%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 15:55
BetUS2.83I 35.34%NM 32.55%EV -5.96%E -2.11%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.54%EV -8.16%E -3.50%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 15:54
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.53%E -0.424%K -0.588%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 15:49
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -1.53%E -0.424%K -0.588%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 15:55
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 10:09
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 11:25
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -11.31%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 15:55
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -7.62%E -2.74%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.26%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 10:09
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -7.62%E -2.74%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.26%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 10:10
BetOnline.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 33.13%EV -8.28%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.74%EV -6.98%E -2.96%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 15:35
LowVig.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 33.13%EV -8.28%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.74%EV -6.98%E -2.96%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 15:35
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 15:15
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 15:15
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 15:15
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 15:20
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.22%EV -7.77%E -3.32%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 10:29
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 15:30
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 15:30
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 15:30
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 15:14
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 15:55
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 15:55
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.22%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 15:15
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.22%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 15:20
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.22%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 15:20
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.22%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 15:15
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.22%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 15:15
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 15:15
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 15:49
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 10:09
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 15:55
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -13.28%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-10 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -13.28%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-10 15:55
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -11.31%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-10 15:55
Betclic (FR)2.68I 37.31%NM 33.04%EV -10.94%E -4.08%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.71%EV -12.10%E -5.43%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-10 15:39
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -11.94%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -11.94%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 15:15
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -11.94%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 15:50
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -11.94%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -13.28%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-10 15:35
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.29%EV -12.60%E -4.79%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-10 15:15
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -13.60%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.27%EV -8.16%E -3.50%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-10 15:15
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -13.60%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -11.31%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-10 15:35
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -13.60%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -13.28%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-10 10:09
NetBet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.25%EV -13.60%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.30%EV -13.28%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.45%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-10 15:40
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -15.26%E -5.99%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-10 15:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-10 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-10 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-10 15:55
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-10 15:55
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.90%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.24%2.0%2026-04-10 15:55
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-04-10 15:55