Language:English
Wisła Płock v Arka Gdynia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wisła Płock (Local)
Prediction 46.64%2.14fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -4.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.77%46.67%46.59%48.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.961.972.0557.47%51.12%50.76%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arka Gdynia (Visit)
Prediction 24.84%4.03fair odd
EV +5.81%
Edge +1.36%
Kelly +1.78%
Growth +0.104%
assuming max odds 4.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.35%24.86%24.79%26.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.723.724.2629.41%26.91%26.88%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.52%3.51fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -0.807%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.66%28.48%28.62%29.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.223.203.4134.72%31.06%31.25%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wisła Płock (Local): 46.64%; Arka Gdynia (Visit): 24.84%; Draw: 28.52%. For Arka Gdynia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.81%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -7.65%E -3.86%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.35%EV +5.81%E +1.36%K +1.78%G +0.104% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.57%EV -8.17%E -2.54%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 17:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.01%EV -7.18%E -3.61%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -0.647%E -0.162%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.10%EV -3.04%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.01%EV -7.18%E -3.61%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -0.647%E -0.162%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.10%EV -3.04%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 17:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.13%E -0.803%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.04%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 17:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.90%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.91%EV -4.12%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.19%EV -2.75%E -0.807%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-09 17:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -3.04%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 17:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 17:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 17:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 17:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 17:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 17:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 17:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-09 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -8.58%E -4.38%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 17:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-09 17:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-09 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -11.38%E -5.99%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-09 17:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.29%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 17:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 17:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.30%EV -9.51%E -4.90%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-02 18:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -11.38%E -5.99%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-09 17:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -14.64%E -8.00%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -17.87%E -6.20%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-09 12:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.59%EV -7.18%E -3.61%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.79%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.62%EV -7.60%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 17:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-09 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-09 17:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-09 17:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.60%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -10.17%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-09 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.06%EV -9.98%E -5.17%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-09 17:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.06%EV -9.98%E -5.17%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-09 17:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.47%EV -7.65%E -3.86%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-09 17:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.47%EV -7.65%E -3.86%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-09 17:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.17%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-09 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.30%EV -11.38%E -5.99%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.62%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-09 17:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.35%EV -12.31%E -6.55%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.39%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.26%EV -10.17%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-09 17:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-09 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-09 17:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-09 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-09 17:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-09 17:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -13.71%E -7.41%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-09 17:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -7.65%E -3.86%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -11.82%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-09 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -10.91%E -5.71%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -11.82%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.73%EV -12.16%E -3.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-09 17:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 47.18%EV -15.11%E -8.30%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.19%EV -11.82%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.63%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-09 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-09 17:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.17%EV -11.38%E -5.99%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -13.02%E -4.27%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-09 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 47.98%EV -18.84%E -10.83%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.20%EV -14.31%E -4.15%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.83%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-09 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.55%E -4.57%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-09 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.55%E -4.57%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-09 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -10.45%E -5.44%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -15.55%E -4.57%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-09 17:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-03-09 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-03-09 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-03-09 17:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.95% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00% | 1.4% | 2026-03-09 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.23% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.04% | 2.8% | 2026-03-09 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87% | 4.0% | 2026-03-09 17:50 |