A Escola das Odds

Wisła Płock v Arka Gdynia

Início: 2026-03-09 18:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Wisła Płock (Local)

Previsão 46.64%2.14odd justa
EV -4.38%
Vantagem -2.14%
Kelly -4.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.77%46.67%46.59%48.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.741.961.972.0557.47%51.12%50.76%48.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arka Gdynia (Visitante)

Previsão 24.84%4.03odd justa
EV +5.81%
Vantagem +1.36%
Kelly +1.78%
Crescimento +0.104%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.35%24.86%24.79%26.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.723.724.2629.41%26.91%26.88%23.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.52%3.51odd justa
EV -2.75%
Vantagem -0.807%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.66%28.48%28.62%29.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.223.203.4134.72%31.06%31.25%29.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -7.65%E -3.86%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.35%EV +5.81%E +1.36%K +1.78%G +0.104%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.57%EV -8.17%E -2.54%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 17:49
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.01%EV -7.18%E -3.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -0.647%E -0.162%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.10%EV -3.04%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 17:45
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.01%EV -7.18%E -3.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -0.647%E -0.162%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.10%EV -3.04%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 17:44
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.13%E -0.803%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.04%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 17:38
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 46.90%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.91%EV -4.12%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.19%EV -2.75%E -0.807%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 17:45
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -3.04%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 17:34
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 17:04
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 17:04
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 17:05
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 17:05
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 17:04
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 17:04
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 17:04
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 17:05
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 17:45
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -8.58%E -4.38%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 17:04
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-09 17:35
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-09 17:55
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -11.38%E -5.99%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-09 17:35
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.29%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 17:54
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 17:34
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 47.30%EV -9.51%E -4.90%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-02 18:19
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-09 17:55
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -11.38%E -5.99%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-09 17:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -14.64%E -8.00%K -17.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -17.87%E -6.20%K -9.50%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-09 12:10
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.59%EV -7.18%E -3.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.79%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.62%EV -7.60%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 17:44
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-09 17:55
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-09 17:55
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-09 17:49
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.60%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -10.17%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-09 17:54
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.06%EV -9.98%E -5.17%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-09 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.06%EV -9.98%E -5.17%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-09 17:04
Bovada1.98I 50.51%NM 46.47%EV -7.65%E -3.86%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 17:45
BetUS1.98I 50.51%NM 46.47%EV -7.65%E -3.86%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 17:44
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.17%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 17:55
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.30%EV -11.38%E -5.99%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.62%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-09 17:04
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 47.35%EV -12.31%E -6.55%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.39%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.26%EV -10.17%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-09 17:04
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 17:55
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-09 17:44
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-09 17:45
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-09 17:45
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-09 17:44
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -13.71%E -7.41%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-09 17:34
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -7.65%E -3.86%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -11.82%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-09 17:55
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -10.91%E -5.71%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -11.82%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.73%EV -12.16%E -3.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-09 17:54
NetBet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 47.18%EV -15.11%E -8.30%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.19%EV -11.82%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.63%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-09 17:50
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-09 17:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.17%EV -11.38%E -5.99%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -13.02%E -4.27%K -6.35%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-09 17:55
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 47.98%EV -18.84%E -10.83%K -25.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.20%EV -14.31%E -4.15%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.83%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-09 17:40
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.55%E -4.57%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-09 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.55%E -4.57%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-09 17:55
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -10.45%E -5.44%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -15.55%E -4.57%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-09 17:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-03-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-03-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-03-09 17:50
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00%1.4%2026-03-09 17:55
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.04%2.8%2026-03-09 17:55
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%4.0%2026-03-09 17:50