Szkoła Kursów

Wisła Płock v Arka Gdynia

Początek: 2026-03-09 18:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Wisła Płock (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 46.64%2.14kurs godziwy
EV -4.38%
Przewaga -2.14%
Kelly -4.17%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.05

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
44.77%46.67%46.59%48.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.741.961.972.0557.47%51.12%50.76%48.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Arka Gdynia (Goście)

Prognoza 24.84%4.03kurs godziwy
EV +5.81%
Przewaga +1.36%
Kelly +1.78%
Wzrost +0.104%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.26

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.35%24.86%24.79%26.34%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.403.723.724.2629.41%26.91%26.88%23.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 28.52%3.51kurs godziwy
EV -2.75%
Przewaga -0.807%
Kelly -1.14%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.41

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.66%28.48%28.62%29.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.223.203.4134.72%31.06%31.25%29.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -7.65%E -3.86%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.35%EV +5.81%E +1.36%K +1.78%G +0.104%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.57%EV -8.17%E -2.54%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 17:49
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.01%EV -7.18%E -3.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -0.647%E -0.162%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.10%EV -3.04%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 17:45
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.01%EV -7.18%E -3.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -0.647%E -0.162%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.10%EV -3.04%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 17:44
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.13%E -0.803%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.04%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 17:38
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 46.90%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.91%EV -4.12%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.19%EV -2.75%E -0.807%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 17:45
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -3.04%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 17:34
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 17:04
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 17:04
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 17:05
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 17:05
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 17:04
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 17:04
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 17:04
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 17:05
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 17:45
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -8.58%E -4.38%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 17:04
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-09 17:35
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-09 17:55
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -11.38%E -5.99%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-09 17:35
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.29%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 17:54
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 17:34
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 47.30%EV -9.51%E -4.90%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-02 18:19
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-09 17:55
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -11.38%E -5.99%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-09 17:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -14.64%E -8.00%K -17.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -17.87%E -6.20%K -9.50%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-09 12:10
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.59%EV -7.18%E -3.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.79%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.62%EV -7.60%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 17:44
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-09 17:55
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-09 17:55
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-09 17:49
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.60%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -10.17%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-09 17:54
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.06%EV -9.98%E -5.17%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-09 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.06%EV -9.98%E -5.17%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-09 17:04
Bovada1.98I 50.51%NM 46.47%EV -7.65%E -3.86%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 17:45
BetUS1.98I 50.51%NM 46.47%EV -7.65%E -3.86%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 17:44
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.17%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 17:55
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.30%EV -11.38%E -5.99%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.62%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-09 17:04
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 47.35%EV -12.31%E -6.55%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.39%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.26%EV -10.17%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-09 17:04
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 17:55
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-09 17:44
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-09 17:45
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-09 17:45
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-09 17:44
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -13.71%E -7.41%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-09 17:34
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -7.65%E -3.86%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -11.82%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-09 17:55
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -10.91%E -5.71%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -11.82%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.73%EV -12.16%E -3.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-09 17:54
NetBet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 47.18%EV -15.11%E -8.30%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.19%EV -11.82%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.63%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-09 17:50
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-09 17:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.17%EV -11.38%E -5.99%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -13.02%E -4.27%K -6.35%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-09 17:55
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 47.98%EV -18.84%E -10.83%K -25.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.20%EV -14.31%E -4.15%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.83%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-09 17:40
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.55%E -4.57%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-09 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.55%E -4.57%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-09 17:55
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -10.45%E -5.44%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -15.55%E -4.57%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-09 17:55
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-03-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-03-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-03-09 17:50
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00%1.4%2026-03-09 17:55
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.04%2.8%2026-03-09 17:55
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%4.0%2026-03-09 17:50