مدرسة الاحتمالات

Wisła Płock v Arka Gdynia

البداية: 2026-03-09 18:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Wisła Płock (المضيف)

التنبؤ 46.64%2.14السعر العادل
EV -4.38%
الأفضلية -2.14%
Kelly -4.17%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.77%46.67%46.59%48.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.741.961.972.0557.47%51.12%50.76%48.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arka Gdynia (الضيف)

التنبؤ 24.84%4.03السعر العادل
EV +5.81%
الأفضلية +1.36%
Kelly +1.78%
النمو +0.104%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.26

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.35%24.86%24.79%26.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.723.724.2629.41%26.91%26.88%23.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.52%3.51السعر العادل
EV -2.75%
الأفضلية -0.807%
Kelly -1.14%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.41

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.66%28.48%28.62%29.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.223.203.4134.72%31.06%31.25%29.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -7.65%E -3.86%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.35%EV +5.81%E +1.36%K +1.78%G +0.104%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.57%EV -8.17%E -2.54%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 17:49
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.01%EV -7.18%E -3.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -0.647%E -0.162%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.10%EV -3.04%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 17:45
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.01%EV -7.18%E -3.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -0.647%E -0.162%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.10%EV -3.04%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 17:44
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.13%E -0.803%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.04%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 17:38
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 46.90%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.91%EV -4.12%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.19%EV -2.75%E -0.807%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 17:45
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -3.04%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 17:34
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 17:04
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 17:04
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 17:05
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 17:05
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 17:04
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 17:04
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 17:04
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 17:05
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 17:45
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -8.58%E -4.38%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 17:04
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-09 17:35
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-09 17:55
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -11.38%E -5.99%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.89%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-09 17:35
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.29%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 17:54
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 17:34
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 47.30%EV -9.51%E -4.90%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-02 18:19
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-09 17:55
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -11.38%E -5.99%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-09 17:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -14.64%E -8.00%K -17.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -17.87%E -6.20%K -9.50%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-09 12:10
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.59%EV -7.18%E -3.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.79%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.62%EV -7.60%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 17:44
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-09 17:55
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-09 17:55
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-09 17:49
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.60%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -10.17%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-09 17:54
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.06%EV -9.98%E -5.17%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-09 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.06%EV -9.98%E -5.17%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-09 17:04
Bovada1.98I 50.51%NM 46.47%EV -7.65%E -3.86%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 17:45
BetUS1.98I 50.51%NM 46.47%EV -7.65%E -3.86%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 17:44
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.17%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 17:55
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.30%EV -11.38%E -5.99%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.62%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-09 17:04
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 47.35%EV -12.31%E -6.55%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.39%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.26%EV -10.17%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-09 17:04
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 17:55
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-09 17:44
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-09 17:45
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-09 17:45
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-09 17:44
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -13.71%E -7.41%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-09 17:34
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -7.65%E -3.86%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -11.82%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-09 17:55
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -10.91%E -5.71%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -11.82%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.73%EV -12.16%E -3.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-09 17:54
NetBet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 47.18%EV -15.11%E -8.30%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.19%EV -11.82%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.63%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-09 17:50
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-09 17:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.17%EV -11.38%E -5.99%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -13.02%E -4.27%K -6.35%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-09 17:55
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 47.98%EV -18.84%E -10.83%K -25.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.20%EV -14.31%E -4.15%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.83%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-09 17:40
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.55%E -4.57%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-09 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.55%E -4.57%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-09 17:55
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -10.45%E -5.44%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -15.55%E -4.57%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-09 17:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-03-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-03-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-03-09 17:50
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00%1.4%2026-03-09 17:55
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.04%2.8%2026-03-09 17:55
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%4.0%2026-03-09 17:50