The School of Odds

Raków Częstochowa v Wisła Płock

2026-07-26 12:45 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Raków Częstochowa (Local)

Prediction 56.87%1.76fair odd
EV -6.17%
Edge -3.74%
Kelly -9.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.75%56.82%56.98%58.06%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.521.611.621.6566%62%62%61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Wisła Płock (Visit)

Prediction 18.35%5.45fair odd
EV +0.926%
Edge +0.168%
Kelly +0.206%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.29%18.38%18.39%20.08%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.204.915.005.5024%20%20%18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.78%4.03fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -0.858%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.88%24.79%24.63%25.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.353.673.703.9030%27%27%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.00%EV -6.74%E -4.11%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.926%E +0.168%K +0.206%G +0.002%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -4.58%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 13:25
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -8.45%E -5.25%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -4.58%E -0.881%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -3.34%E -0.858%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 13:29
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -8.45%E -5.25%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.98%EV -5.50%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.50%EV -6.32%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 14:14
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 57.10%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.37%EV -5.86%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.53%EV -4.83%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 14:20
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -7.31%E -4.48%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -6.41%E -1.26%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.63%EV -6.32%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 14:18
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -9.01%E -5.63%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -6.41%E -1.26%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 13:25
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -3.34%E -0.858%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 13:45
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.78%E -2.99%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 14:14
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.78%E -2.99%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 14:15
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.78%E -2.99%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 14:15
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 14:10
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 15:23
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -9.01%E -5.63%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 13:55
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -9.01%E -5.63%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-19 13:24
betano_uk1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.45%E -5.25%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.78%E -2.99%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 00:09
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.45%E -5.25%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.78%E -2.99%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 00:10
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -10.72%E -6.83%K -18.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-19 13:29
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.67%EV -9.17%E -1.85%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -9.54%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-20 00:15
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.67%EV -9.17%E -1.85%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -9.54%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-20 00:15
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 55.58%EV -11.86%E -7.65%K -21.56%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 18.93%EV -16.51%E -3.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.49%EV -16.23%E -4.80%K -6.82%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-20 00:15
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 56.14%EV -13.56%E -8.92%K -26.08%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 18.76%EV -16.51%E -3.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.10%EV -15.74%E -4.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%17.2%2026-07-20 13:05
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -17.42%E -3.87%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-19 13:34
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 55.95%EV -11.86%E -7.65%K -21.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -17.42%E -3.87%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-19 13:25
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.23%EV -10.15%E -6.42%K -17.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.83%EV -19.26%E -4.38%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-20 00:15
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 54.75%EV -12.43%E -8.07%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.08%EV -22.93%E -5.46%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.17%EV -16.98%E -5.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-20 00:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 54.99%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%13.7%2026-07-20 00:15