Language:English
Raków Częstochowa v Wisła Płock
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Raków Częstochowa (Local)
Prediction 55.88%1.79fair odd
EV -5.00%
Edge -2.94%
Kelly -7.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.96%56.02%55.88%58.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.631.621.7066.23%61.35%61.73%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wisła Płock (Visit)
Prediction 18.73%5.34fair odd
EV +8.84%
Edge +1.52%
Kelly +1.84%
Growth +0.162%
assuming max odds 5.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.50%18.60%18.70%20.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.005.005.8122.73%19.98%20.00%17.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.39%3.94fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -0.589%
Kelly -0.795%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.60%25.38%25.42%26.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.633.603.8529.41%27.55%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Raków Częstochowa (Local): 55.88%; Wisła Płock (Visit): 18.73%; Draw: 25.39%. For Wisła Płock (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.34. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.81, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.84%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.74%EV -7.24%E -4.36%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.50%EV +8.84%E +1.52%K +1.84%G +0.162% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.76%EV -5.57%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-26 12:26 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.24%E -4.36%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.24%E -4.36%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.24%E -4.36%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -10.03%E -6.23%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -10.03%E -6.23%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -10.03%E -6.23%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -10.03%E -6.23%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -10.03%E -6.23%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.85%EV -10.59%E -6.62%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.93%EV -12.27%E -7.81%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -0.714%E -0.135%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -7.34%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.08%EV -12.83%E -8.22%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.10%EV -0.714%E -0.135%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.82%EV -7.34%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.08%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -1.65%E -0.314%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -2.27%E -0.589%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.79%EV -12.83%E -8.22%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.17%EV -1.65%E -0.314%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.22%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -3.52%E -0.684%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-26 12:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -4.46%E -0.875%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.89%EV -15.62%E -10.34%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.14%EV -4.46%E -0.875%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.91%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -6.33%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 12:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.33%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 12:33 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.33%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.33%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.33%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 12:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.33%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.80%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.36%EV -8.21%E -1.67%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.83%EV -3.03%E -0.793%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-26 12:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.21%E -1.67%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.92%EV -9.14%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.92%EV -9.14%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.34%EV -7.24%E -4.36%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.08%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -10.08%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-26 12:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -10.08%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-26 12:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.08%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.08%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-26 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.08%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -10.08%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.02%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.02%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.02%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.94%EV -10.59%E -6.62%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -11.02%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -12.27%E -7.81%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -11.02%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -11.95%E -2.54%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.00%EV -13.38%E -8.63%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.47%EV -11.95%E -2.54%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.53%EV -13.69%E -4.03%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-07-26 12:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.40%EV -10.59%E -6.62%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.06%EV -12.89%E -2.77%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.54%EV -11.91%E -3.43%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-26 12:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.35%E -5.09%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -13.83%E -3.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -13.83%E -3.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.03%E -6.23%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -13.83%E -3.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.03%E -6.23%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -13.83%E -3.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.40%EV -10.59%E -6.62%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.83%E -3.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -6.12%E -3.64%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.70%E -3.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-26 12:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.92%EV -10.59%E -6.62%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -17.57%E -3.99%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.66% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 18.15% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 24.20% | -0.9% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.45% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-07-26 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.59% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07% | 1.0% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.59% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07% | 1.0% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.59% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07% | 1.0% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.16% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15% | 2.0% | 2026-07-26 12:40 |