L’École des cotes

Raków Częstochowa v Wisła Płock

2026-07-26 12:45 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Raków Częstochowa (Local)

Prévision 58.84%1.70cote équitable
EV -4.69%
Avantage -2.89%
Kelly -7.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.51%58.84%58.91%60.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.571.571.6267.57%63.64%63.69%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wisła Płock (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.85%5.94cote équitable
EV +5.30%
Avantage +0.849%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.054%

avec la cote maximale 6.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.20%16.87%16.76%19.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.405.395.406.2522.73%18.56%18.52%16.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.32%4.11cote équitable
EV -2.74%
Avantage -0.684%
Kelly -0.912%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.57%24.29%24.33%25.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.743.754.0028.57%26.70%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.13%EV -7.04%E -4.46%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +5.30%E +0.849%K +1.01%G +0.054%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -6.38%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 18:15
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -9.98%E -6.52%K -18.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV +1.09%E +0.182%K +0.218%G +0.002%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-23 18:15
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 59.83%EV -5.86%E -3.66%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.17%EV -0.256%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.99%EV -2.98%E -0.747%K -0.997%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 00:55
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -7.63%E -4.86%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.12%E -0.543%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.74%E -0.684%K -0.912%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 12:45
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -6.45%E -4.06%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV -3.96%E -0.695%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -7.60%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 00:24
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 59.26%EV -7.04%E -4.46%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV -3.96%E -0.695%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.38%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 23:54
BetUS1.58I 63.29%NM 59.26%EV -7.04%E -4.46%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV -3.96%E -0.695%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.38%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 23:54
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 59.26%EV -7.04%E -4.46%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV -3.96%E -0.695%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.38%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 23:55
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -8.80%E -5.68%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -3.96%E -0.695%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.60%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 00:09
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.39%EV -8.22%E -5.27%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -5.65%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -6.38%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 00:19
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -8.22%E -5.27%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.49%EV -5.65%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.60%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 23:54
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.94%EV -7.04%E -4.46%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 16.87%EV -7.00%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -6.38%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 00:25
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.27%E -3.28%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.60%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-23 14:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -5.86%E -3.66%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.60%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -7.63%E -4.86%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.60%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-23 18:10
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.63%E -4.86%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-23 18:04
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.63%E -4.86%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-23 18:04
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.63%E -4.86%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-23 18:05
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.63%E -4.86%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 00:20
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.63%E -4.86%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 00:20
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -8.80%E -5.68%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -7.60%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 23:54
betano_uk1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -8.80%E -5.68%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 00:00
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -8.80%E -5.68%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 00:03
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.27%EV -10.57%E -6.95%K -20.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 12:55
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -4.69%E -2.89%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -9.02%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 13:05
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -4.69%E -2.89%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -9.02%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 13:05
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -4.69%E -2.89%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -9.02%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 13:05
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -4.69%E -2.89%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -9.02%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 13:05
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -5.27%E -3.28%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -9.02%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 13:05
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -5.27%E -3.28%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -9.02%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 13:05
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -5.27%E -3.28%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -9.02%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 13:05
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -5.27%E -3.28%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -9.02%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 13:05
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -5.27%E -3.28%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -9.02%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 13:05
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -7.63%E -4.86%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -10.70%E -2.02%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 13:05
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -5.86%E -3.66%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -11.54%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.17%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 12:15
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.83%EV -7.63%E -4.86%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.54%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -11.25%E -3.08%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 13:05
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -7.04%E -4.46%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -11.54%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -13.68%E -3.85%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.99%EV -8.22%E -5.27%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.23%EV -11.54%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -11.25%E -3.08%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 13:05
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.81%EV -6.45%E -4.06%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -12.39%E -2.38%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 00:49
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.05%EV -8.80%E -5.68%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.30%EV -12.39%E -2.38%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.65%EV -11.25%E -3.08%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 00:20
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -5.86%E -3.66%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.94%EV -13.23%E -2.57%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.60%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 13:09
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -5.86%E -3.66%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.94%EV -13.23%E -2.57%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.60%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 13:09
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.04%EV -8.80%E -5.68%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.64%EV -14.07%E -2.76%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 00:50
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.09%EV -11.16%E -7.39%K -21.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.20%EV -14.07%E -2.76%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -13.68%E -3.85%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-22 00:20
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.78%EV -12.92%E -8.73%K -26.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.06%EV -14.07%E -2.76%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.16%EV -12.46%E -3.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-25 23:59
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.00%EV -9.39%E -6.10%K -17.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -15.76%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -10.03%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-26 00:49
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.98%E -6.52%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -15.76%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-23 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.45%EV -8.80%E -5.68%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.76%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.46%E -3.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-23 14:45
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.45%EV -8.80%E -5.68%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.76%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.46%E -3.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-23 14:45
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.05%EV -8.80%E -5.68%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -15.76%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -14.89%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-23 12:49
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.53%EV -9.39%E -6.10%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.85%EV -20.81%E -4.43%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-22 13:09
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.51%EV -11.75%E -7.83%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.27%EV -25.87%E -5.88%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.22%EV -14.89%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%18.0%2026-07-22 13:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.40%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.75%1.0%2026-07-25 20:30
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.83%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84%1.9%2026-07-26 01:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.39%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.80%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%2.1%2026-07-26 01:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.39%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.80%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%2.1%2026-07-26 01:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.39%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.80%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%2.1%2026-07-26 01:49
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 59.53%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.75%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.72%2.4%2026-07-26 01:49