Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Raków Częstochowa v Wisła Płock

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-26 12:45 UTC

Score final : Raków Częstochowa 1–2 Wisła Płock

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Raków Częstochowa (Local)

Prévision 55.88%1.79cote équitable
EV -5.00%
Avantage -2.94%
Kelly -7.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.96%56.02%55.88%58.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.511.631.621.7066.23%61.35%61.73%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Wisła Płock (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.73%5.34cote équitable
EV +8.84%
Avantage +1.52%
Kelly +1.84%
Croissance +0.162%

avec la cote maximale 5.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.50%18.60%18.70%20.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.405.005.005.8122.73%19.98%20.00%17.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.39%3.94cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -0.589%
Kelly -0.795%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.60%25.38%25.42%26.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.633.603.8529.41%27.55%27.78%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Raków Częstochowa (Local) : 55.88% ; Wisła Płock (Visiteur) : 18.73% ; Match nul : 25.39%. Pour Wisła Płock (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.34. 14 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.81, soit une espérance positive de +8.84%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.74%EV -7.24%E -4.36%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.50%EV +8.84%E +1.52%K +1.84%G +0.162%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.76%EV -5.57%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 12:26
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.24%E -4.36%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 12:30
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.24%E -4.36%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 12:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.24%E -4.36%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 12:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 12:30
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 12:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 12:30
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -10.03%E -6.23%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 12:30
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -10.03%E -6.23%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 12:30
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -10.03%E -6.23%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -10.03%E -6.23%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 12:30
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -10.03%E -6.23%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 12:30
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.85%EV -10.59%E -6.62%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 12:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.93%EV -12.27%E -7.81%K -21.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -0.714%E -0.135%K -0.166%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -7.34%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.08%EV -12.83%E -8.22%K -22.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.10%EV -0.714%E -0.135%K -0.166%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.82%EV -7.34%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 12:30
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.08%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -1.65%E -0.314%K -0.388%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -2.27%E -0.589%K -0.795%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 12:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.79%EV -12.83%E -8.22%K -22.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.17%EV -1.65%E -0.314%K -0.388%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.22%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -3.52%E -0.684%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 12:39
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -4.46%E -0.875%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 12:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 57.89%EV -15.62%E -10.34%K -30.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.14%EV -4.46%E -0.875%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-26 12:30
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.91%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -6.33%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 12:40
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.33%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 12:33
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.33%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 12:35
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.33%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 12:30
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.33%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 12:40
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.33%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 12:30
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.80%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.36%EV -8.21%E -1.67%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.83%EV -3.03%E -0.793%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 12:40
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.21%E -1.67%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 12:30
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.92%EV -9.14%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 12:35
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.92%EV -9.14%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 12:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.34%EV -7.24%E -4.36%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.08%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 12:35
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -10.08%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 12:39
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -10.08%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 12:39
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.08%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 12:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.08%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.08%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 12:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -10.08%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 12:30
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.02%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 12:35
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.02%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.02%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 12:30
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.94%EV -10.59%E -6.62%K -17.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -11.02%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 12:30
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -12.27%E -7.81%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -11.02%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-26 12:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -11.95%E -2.54%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 12:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.00%EV -13.38%E -8.63%K -24.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.47%EV -11.95%E -2.54%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.53%EV -13.69%E -4.03%K -5.70%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-26 12:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.40%EV -10.59%E -6.62%K -17.65%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.06%EV -12.89%E -2.77%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.54%EV -11.91%E -3.43%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-26 12:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.35%E -5.09%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -13.83%E -3.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 12:35
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -13.83%E -3.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-26 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.03%E -6.23%K -16.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -13.83%E -3.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 12:30
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.03%E -6.23%K -16.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -13.83%E -3.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 12:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.40%EV -10.59%E -6.62%K -17.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.83%E -3.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-26 12:35
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -6.12%E -3.64%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.70%E -3.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 12:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.92%EV -10.59%E -6.62%K -17.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -17.57%E -3.99%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 12:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 57.66%5.56I 17.99%NM 18.15%4.17I 23.98%NM 24.20%-0.9%2026-07-26 12:35
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.45%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-07-26 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.59%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-07-26 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.59%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-07-26 12:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.59%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-07-26 12:35
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.16%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15%2.0%2026-07-26 12:40