语言:简体中文
Raków Częstochowa v Wisła Płock
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Raków Częstochowa (主队)
预测 55.88%1.79公平赔率
EV -5.00%
优势 -2.94%
Kelly -7.15%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.70
博彩公司预测分布
53.96%56.02%55.88%58.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.511.631.621.7066.23%61.35%61.73%58.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
Wisła Płock (客队)
预测 18.73%5.34公平赔率
EV +8.84%
优势 +1.52%
Kelly +1.84%
增长率 +0.162%
假设最高赔率为 5.81
博彩公司预测分布
16.50%18.60%18.70%20.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.405.005.005.8122.73%19.98%20.00%17.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 25.39%3.94公平赔率
EV -2.27%
优势 -0.589%
Kelly -0.795%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.85
博彩公司预测分布
24.60%25.38%25.42%26.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.633.603.8529.41%27.55%27.78%25.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Raków Częstochowa (主队)：55.88%；Wisła Płock (客队)：18.73%；平局：25.39%。 对于“Wisła Płock (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.34。 当时有14家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.81，对应+8.84%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.74%EV -7.24%E -4.36%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.50%EV +8.84%E +1.52%K +1.84%G +0.162% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.76%EV -5.57%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-26 12:26 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.24%E -4.36%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.24%E -4.36%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.24%E -4.36%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -10.03%E -6.23%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -10.03%E -6.23%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -10.03%E -6.23%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -10.03%E -6.23%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -10.03%E -6.23%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.85%EV -10.59%E -6.62%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV +1.16%E +0.215%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.93%EV -12.27%E -7.81%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -0.714%E -0.135%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -7.34%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.08%EV -12.83%E -8.22%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.10%EV -0.714%E -0.135%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.82%EV -7.34%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.08%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -1.65%E -0.314%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -2.27%E -0.589%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.79%EV -12.83%E -8.22%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.17%EV -1.65%E -0.314%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.22%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -3.52%E -0.684%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-26 12:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -4.46%E -0.875%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.89%EV -15.62%E -10.34%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.14%EV -4.46%E -0.875%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.91%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -6.33%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 12:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.33%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 12:33 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.33%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.33%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.33%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 12:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.33%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.80%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.36%EV -8.21%E -1.67%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.83%EV -3.03%E -0.793%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-26 12:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.21%E -1.67%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.92%EV -9.14%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.92%EV -9.14%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.34%EV -7.24%E -4.36%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.08%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -10.08%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-26 12:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -10.08%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-26 12:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.08%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.08%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-26 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.08%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -10.08%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.02%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.02%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.02%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.94%EV -10.59%E -6.62%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -11.02%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -12.27%E -7.81%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -11.02%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -11.95%E -2.54%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.00%EV -13.38%E -8.63%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.47%EV -11.95%E -2.54%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.53%EV -13.69%E -4.03%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-07-26 12:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.40%EV -10.59%E -6.62%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.06%EV -12.89%E -2.77%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.54%EV -11.91%E -3.43%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-26 12:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.35%E -5.09%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -13.83%E -3.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.47%E -5.85%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -13.83%E -3.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.03%E -6.23%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -13.83%E -3.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.03%E -6.23%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -13.83%E -3.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.40%EV -10.59%E -6.62%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.83%E -3.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -6.12%E -3.64%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.70%E -3.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-26 12:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.92%EV -10.59%E -6.62%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -17.57%E -3.99%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.66% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 18.15% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 24.20% | -0.9% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.45% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-07-26 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.59% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07% | 1.0% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.59% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07% | 1.0% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.59% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07% | 1.0% | 2026-07-26 12:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.16% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15% | 2.0% | 2026-07-26 12:40 |