La escuela de los momios

Raków Częstochowa v Wisła Płock

2026-07-26 12:45 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Raków Częstochowa (Local)

Predicción 58.81%1.70momio equitativo
EV -4.72%
Ventaja -2.92%
Kelly -7.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.51%58.83%58.91%60.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.571.571.6267.57%63.64%63.69%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Wisła Płock (Visitante)

Predicción 16.84%5.94momio equitativo
EV +5.28%
Ventaja +0.844%
Kelly +1.01%
Crecimiento +0.053%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.20%16.85%16.76%19.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.405.395.406.2522.73%18.56%18.52%16.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.34%4.11momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -0.657%
Kelly -0.876%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.57%24.32%24.33%25.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.743.754.0028.57%26.72%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.13%EV -7.08%E -4.48%K -12.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +5.28%E +0.844%K +1.01%G +0.053%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -6.28%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 18:15
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV +1.07%E +0.178%K +0.213%G +0.002%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-23 18:15
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 59.83%EV -5.90%E -3.69%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.17%EV -0.281%E -0.048%K -0.057%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.99%EV -2.87%E -0.720%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 00:55
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.31%EV -8.84%E -5.70%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -2.30%E -0.397%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.93%E -2.68%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 02:39
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -7.66%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.14%E -0.547%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.63%E -0.657%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 12:45
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -6.49%E -4.08%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV -3.99%E -0.699%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -7.50%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 00:24
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 59.26%EV -7.08%E -4.48%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV -3.99%E -0.699%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.28%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 23:54
BetUS1.58I 63.29%NM 59.26%EV -7.08%E -4.48%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV -3.99%E -0.699%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.28%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 23:54
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 59.26%EV -7.08%E -4.48%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV -3.99%E -0.699%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.28%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 23:55
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.39%EV -8.25%E -5.29%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -5.67%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -6.28%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 00:19
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -8.25%E -5.29%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.49%EV -5.67%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.50%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 23:54
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.94%EV -7.08%E -4.48%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 16.87%EV -7.02%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -6.28%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 00:25
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.31%E -3.30%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.50%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-23 14:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -5.90%E -3.69%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.50%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:20
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -7.66%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.50%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-23 18:10
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.66%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-23 18:04
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.66%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-23 18:04
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.66%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-23 18:05
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.66%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.93%E -2.68%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 00:20
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.66%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.93%E -2.68%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 00:20
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -8.84%E -5.70%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -7.50%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 23:54
betano_uk1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -8.84%E -5.70%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 00:00
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -8.84%E -5.70%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 00:03
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.27%EV -10.60%E -6.98%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -9.93%E -2.68%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 12:55
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -4.72%E -2.92%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -9.04%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 13:05
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -4.72%E -2.92%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -9.04%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 13:05
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -4.72%E -2.92%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -9.04%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 13:05
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -4.72%E -2.92%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -9.04%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 13:05
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -5.31%E -3.30%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -9.04%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 13:05
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -5.31%E -3.30%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -9.04%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 13:05
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -5.31%E -3.30%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -9.04%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 13:05
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -5.31%E -3.30%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -9.04%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 13:05
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -5.31%E -3.30%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -9.04%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 13:05
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -7.66%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -10.72%E -2.02%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -9.93%E -2.68%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 13:05
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -5.90%E -3.69%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.06%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 12:15
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.83%EV -7.66%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -11.15%E -3.05%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 13:05
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -7.08%E -4.48%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -13.58%E -3.83%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 02:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.99%EV -8.25%E -5.29%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.23%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -11.15%E -3.05%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 13:05
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.81%EV -6.49%E -4.08%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 00:49
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.05%EV -8.84%E -5.70%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.30%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.65%EV -11.15%E -3.05%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 00:20
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -5.90%E -3.69%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.94%EV -13.25%E -2.57%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.50%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 13:09
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -5.90%E -3.69%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.94%EV -13.25%E -2.57%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.50%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 13:09
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.04%EV -8.84%E -5.70%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.64%EV -14.09%E -2.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -9.93%E -2.68%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 00:50
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.09%EV -11.19%E -7.41%K -21.95%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.20%EV -14.09%E -2.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -13.58%E -3.83%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-22 00:20
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.78%EV -12.96%E -8.75%K -26.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.06%EV -14.09%E -2.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.16%EV -12.37%E -3.43%K -4.76%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-25 23:59
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.00%EV -9.43%E -6.12%K -17.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.93%E -2.68%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-26 00:49
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-23 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.45%EV -8.84%E -5.70%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.37%E -3.43%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-23 14:45
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.45%EV -8.84%E -5.70%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.37%E -3.43%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-23 14:45
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.05%EV -8.84%E -5.70%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -14.80%E -4.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-23 12:49
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.53%EV -9.43%E -6.12%K -17.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.85%EV -20.83%E -4.43%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-22 13:09
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.51%EV -11.78%E -7.85%K -23.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.27%EV -25.88%E -5.88%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.22%EV -14.80%E -4.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%18.0%2026-07-22 13:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%0.9%2026-07-26 02:50
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.40%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.75%1.0%2026-07-25 20:30
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.68%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.93%1.5%2026-07-26 02:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.20%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.05%2.4%2026-07-26 02:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.20%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.05%2.4%2026-07-26 02:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.20%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.05%2.4%2026-07-26 02:50