Language:English
Raków Częstochowa v Pogoń Szczecin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Raków Częstochowa (Local)
Prediction 49.09%2.04fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.96%49.15%49.10%52.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.841.851.9958.82%54.36%54.05%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pogoń Szczecin (Visit)
Prediction 24.89%4.02fair odd
EV +4.53%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.064%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.18%24.82%24.83%26.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.763.704.2029.41%26.57%27.03%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.02%3.84fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -0.648%
Kelly -0.884%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.01%26.03%26.07%27.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.533.523.7532.26%28.33%28.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Raków Częstochowa (Local): 49.09%; Pogoń Szczecin (Visit): 24.89%; Draw: 26.02%. For Pogoń Szczecin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.53%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -11.63%E -6.46%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV +4.53%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.064% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.43%E -0.648%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -12.12%E -6.77%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV +4.53%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.064% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -2.43%E -0.648%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -12.12%E -6.77%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV +4.53%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.064% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -2.43%E -0.648%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -12.12%E -6.77%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV +4.53%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.064% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -2.43%E -0.648%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.50%EV -12.61%E -7.09%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV +4.53%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.064% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -13.11%E -7.40%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +4.53%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.064% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -14.09%E -8.05%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV +2.04%E +0.498%K +0.659%G +0.013% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -5.03%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.42%EV -14.58%E -8.38%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV +2.04%E +0.498%K +0.659%G +0.013% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.42%EV -14.58%E -8.38%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV +2.04%E +0.498%K +0.659%G +0.013% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -14.09%E -8.05%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -0.447%E -0.112%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -5.03%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -13.60%E -7.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -1.69%E -0.428%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -13.60%E -7.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -1.69%E -0.428%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.23%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%EV -2.94%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -4.51%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.72%E -3.54%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.94%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -8.20%E -4.38%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -2.94%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 16:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -10.16%E -5.55%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -2.94%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.79%EV -15.07%E -8.71%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -2.94%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.79%EV -15.07%E -8.71%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -2.94%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.73%EV -5.74%E -2.99%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.18%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -2.43%E -0.648%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 16:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.94%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.81%EV -7.89%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -10.16%E -5.55%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -6.72%E -3.54%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.16%EV -8.69%E -4.67%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -7.21%E -3.82%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.19%EV -8.41%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -7.21%E -3.82%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 16:27 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -2.30%E -1.16%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -2.30%E -1.16%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.70%E -4.10%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.20%E -4.38%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -14.14%E -4.28%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.96%EV -13.11%E -7.40%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.48%EV -9.72%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-08 16:21 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -11.63%E -6.46%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -12.84%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 49.86%EV -15.56%E -9.05%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.16%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -14.14%E -4.28%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.16%E -5.55%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -10.65%E -5.85%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -14.09%E -8.05%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -11.63%E -6.46%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -19.34%E -6.24%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.58%EV -16.54%E -9.73%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.08%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.34%EV -16.74%E -5.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -5.74%E -2.99%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -15.38%E -4.52%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -11.63%E -6.46%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -15.38%E -4.52%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.35% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.97% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.74% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.04% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.04% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.91% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |