La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Raków Częstochowa v Pogoń Szczecin
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Raków Częstochowa (Casa)
Previsione 49.09%2.04quota equa
EV -2.30%
Vantaggio -1.16%
Kelly -2.33%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.99
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.96%49.15%49.10%52.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.841.851.9958.82%54.36%54.05%50.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pogoń Szczecin (Trasferta)
Previsione 24.89%4.02quota equa
EV +4.53%
Vantaggio +1.08%
Kelly +1.42%
Crescita +0.064%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.18%24.82%24.83%26.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.763.704.2029.41%26.57%27.03%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 26.02%3.84quota equa
EV -2.43%
Vantaggio -0.648%
Kelly -0.884%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.01%26.03%26.07%27.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.533.523.7532.26%28.33%28.41%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -11.63%E -6.46%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV +4.53%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.064% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.43%E -0.648%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -12.12%E -6.77%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV +4.53%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.064% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -2.43%E -0.648%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -12.12%E -6.77%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV +4.53%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.064% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -2.43%E -0.648%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -12.12%E -6.77%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV +4.53%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.064% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -2.43%E -0.648%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Casumo | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.50%EV -12.61%E -7.09%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV +4.53%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.064% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -13.11%E -7.40%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +4.53%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.064% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -14.09%E -8.05%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV +2.04%E +0.498%K +0.659%G +0.013% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -5.03%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.42%EV -14.58%E -8.38%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV +2.04%E +0.498%K +0.659%G +0.013% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.42%EV -14.58%E -8.38%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV +2.04%E +0.498%K +0.659%G +0.013% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -14.09%E -8.05%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -0.447%E -0.112%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -5.03%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| betPARX | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -13.60%E -7.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -1.69%E -0.428%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -13.60%E -7.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -1.69%E -0.428%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.23%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%EV -2.94%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -4.51%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.72%E -3.54%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.94%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -8.20%E -4.38%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -2.94%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 16:28 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -10.16%E -5.55%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -2.94%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.79%EV -15.07%E -8.71%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -2.94%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.79%EV -15.07%E -8.71%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -2.94%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.73%EV -5.74%E -2.99%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.18%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -2.43%E -0.648%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 16:28 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.94%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.81%EV -7.89%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -10.16%E -5.55%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -6.72%E -3.54%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.16%EV -8.69%E -4.67%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -7.21%E -3.82%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.19%EV -8.41%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Bovada | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -7.21%E -3.82%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 16:27 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -2.30%E -1.16%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -2.30%E -1.16%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.70%E -4.10%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.20%E -4.38%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -14.14%E -4.28%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.96%EV -13.11%E -7.40%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.48%EV -9.72%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-08 16:21 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -11.63%E -6.46%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -12.84%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 49.86%EV -15.56%E -9.05%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.16%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -14.14%E -4.28%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.16%E -5.55%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -10.65%E -5.85%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -14.09%E -8.05%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -11.63%E -6.46%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -19.34%E -6.24%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.58%EV -16.54%E -9.73%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.08%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.34%EV -16.74%E -5.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -5.74%E -2.99%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -15.38%E -4.52%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -11.63%E -6.46%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -15.38%E -4.52%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.35% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.97% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.74% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.04% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.04% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.91% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |