L’École des cotesFrançais
Raków Częstochowa v Pogoń Szczecin
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Raków Częstochowa (Local)
Prévision 49.09%2.04cote équitable
EV -2.30%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -2.33%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.99
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.96%49.15%49.10%52.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.841.851.9958.82%54.36%54.05%50.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Pogoń Szczecin (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.89%4.02cote équitable
EV +4.53%
Avantage +1.08%
Kelly +1.42%
Croissance +0.064%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.18%24.82%24.83%26.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.763.704.2029.41%26.57%27.03%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.02%3.84cote équitable
EV -2.43%
Avantage -0.648%
Kelly -0.884%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.01%26.03%26.07%27.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.533.523.7532.26%28.33%28.41%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -11.63%E -6.46%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV +4.53%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.064% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.43%E -0.648%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -12.12%E -6.77%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV +4.53%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.064% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -2.43%E -0.648%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -12.12%E -6.77%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV +4.53%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.064% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -2.43%E -0.648%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -12.12%E -6.77%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV +4.53%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.064% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -2.43%E -0.648%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Casumo | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.50%EV -12.61%E -7.09%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV +4.53%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.064% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -13.11%E -7.40%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +4.53%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.064% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -14.09%E -8.05%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV +2.04%E +0.498%K +0.659%G +0.013% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -5.03%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.42%EV -14.58%E -8.38%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV +2.04%E +0.498%K +0.659%G +0.013% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.42%EV -14.58%E -8.38%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV +2.04%E +0.498%K +0.659%G +0.013% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -14.09%E -8.05%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -0.447%E -0.112%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -5.03%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| betPARX | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -13.60%E -7.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -1.69%E -0.428%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -13.60%E -7.73%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -1.69%E -0.428%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.23%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%EV -2.94%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -4.51%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.72%E -3.54%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.94%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -8.20%E -4.38%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -2.94%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 16:28 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -10.16%E -5.55%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -2.94%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.79%EV -15.07%E -8.71%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -2.94%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.79%EV -15.07%E -8.71%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -2.94%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.73%EV -5.74%E -2.99%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.18%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -2.43%E -0.648%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 16:28 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.94%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.81%EV -7.89%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -10.16%E -5.55%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -6.72%E -3.54%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.16%EV -8.69%E -4.67%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -7.21%E -3.82%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.19%EV -8.41%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Bovada | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -7.21%E -3.82%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 16:27 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -2.30%E -1.16%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -2.30%E -1.16%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.70%E -4.10%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.20%E -4.38%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -14.14%E -4.28%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.96%EV -13.11%E -7.40%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.48%EV -9.72%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-08 16:21 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -11.63%E -6.46%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -12.84%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 49.86%EV -15.56%E -9.05%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.16%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -14.14%E -4.28%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.16%E -5.55%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -10.65%E -5.85%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -14.09%E -8.05%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -11.63%E -6.46%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -19.34%E -6.24%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.58%EV -16.54%E -9.73%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.08%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.34%EV -16.74%E -5.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -5.74%E -2.99%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -15.38%E -4.52%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -11.63%E -6.46%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -15.38%E -4.52%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-08 16:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.35% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.97% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.74% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.04% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.04% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.91% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 16:30 |