A Escola das Odds

Raków Częstochowa v Pogoń Szczecin

Início: 2026-03-08 16:32 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Raków Częstochowa (Local)

Previsão 49.09%2.04odd justa
EV -2.30%
Vantagem -1.16%
Kelly -2.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.99

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.96%49.15%49.10%52.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.841.851.9958.82%54.36%54.05%50.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pogoń Szczecin (Visitante)

Previsão 24.89%4.02odd justa
EV +4.53%
Vantagem +1.08%
Kelly +1.42%
Crescimento +0.064%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.18%24.82%24.83%26.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.763.704.2029.41%26.57%27.03%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.02%3.84odd justa
EV -2.43%
Vantagem -0.648%
Kelly -0.884%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.01%26.03%26.07%27.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.533.523.7532.26%28.33%28.41%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -11.63%E -6.46%K -14.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV +4.53%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.064%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.43%E -0.648%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 16:29
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -12.12%E -6.77%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV +4.53%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.064%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -2.43%E -0.648%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 16:29
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -12.12%E -6.77%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV +4.53%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.064%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -2.43%E -0.648%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 16:29
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -12.12%E -6.77%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV +4.53%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.064%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -2.43%E -0.648%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 16:29
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.50%EV -12.61%E -7.09%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV +4.53%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.064%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 16:29
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -13.11%E -7.40%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +4.53%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.064%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 16:25
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -14.09%E -8.05%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV +2.04%E +0.498%K +0.659%G +0.013%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -5.03%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.42%EV -14.58%E -8.38%K -19.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV +2.04%E +0.498%K +0.659%G +0.013%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 16:29
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.42%EV -14.58%E -8.38%K -19.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV +2.04%E +0.498%K +0.659%G +0.013%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 16:29
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -14.09%E -8.05%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -0.447%E -0.112%K -0.149%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -5.03%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 16:30
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -13.60%E -7.73%K -17.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -1.69%E -0.428%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 16:30
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -13.60%E -7.73%K -17.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -1.69%E -0.428%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 16:30
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 49.23%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%EV -2.94%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -4.51%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 16:29
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.72%E -3.54%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.94%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 16:29
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -8.20%E -4.38%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -2.94%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 16:28
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -10.16%E -5.55%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -2.94%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 16:29
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 51.79%EV -15.07%E -8.71%K -20.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -2.94%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-08 16:30
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.79%EV -15.07%E -8.71%K -20.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -2.94%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-08 16:30
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.73%EV -5.74%E -2.99%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.18%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -2.43%E -0.648%K -0.884%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 16:28
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 16:30
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 16:29
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.94%EV -2.80%E -1.41%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.81%EV -7.89%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 16:29
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 16:29
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -10.16%E -5.55%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 16:30
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -6.72%E -3.54%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 16:29
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 16:29
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 16:29
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 16:29
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.16%EV -8.69%E -4.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 16:29
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -7.21%E -3.82%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.19%EV -8.41%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 16:29
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 16:29
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -7.21%E -3.82%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 16:27
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -2.30%E -1.16%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 16:30
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -2.30%E -1.16%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 16:29
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.70%E -4.10%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 16:29
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 16:29
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.20%E -4.38%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 16:29
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-08 16:29
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -14.14%E -4.28%K -6.15%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.96%EV -13.11%E -7.40%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.48%EV -9.72%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-08 16:21
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -11.63%E -6.46%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -12.84%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-08 16:29
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 49.86%EV -15.56%E -9.05%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.16%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -14.14%E -4.28%K -6.15%G +0.000%16.6%2026-03-08 16:29
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.27%E -2.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 16:30
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.16%E -5.55%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 16:30
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.18%E -4.96%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 16:29
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -10.65%E -5.85%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-08 16:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -14.09%E -8.05%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-08 16:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -11.63%E -6.46%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -19.34%E -6.24%K -9.21%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-08 16:29
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 49.58%EV -16.54%E -9.73%K -23.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.08%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.34%EV -16.74%E -5.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%18.6%2026-03-08 16:29
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -5.74%E -2.99%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -15.38%E -4.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-08 16:30
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -11.63%E -6.46%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -15.38%E -4.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-08 16:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-08 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-08 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-08 16:30
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.35%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.97%2.7%2026-03-08 16:30
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 50.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-03-08 16:30
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 50.04%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.04%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.91%4.1%2026-03-08 16:30