Language:English
Raków Częstochowa v Korona Kielce
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Raków Częstochowa (Local)
Prediction 49.39%2.02fair odd
EV -4.18%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -4.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.73%49.84%49.34%54.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.831.851.9461.35%54.59%54.05%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Korona Kielce (Visit)
Prediction 23.97%4.17fair odd
EV +5.48%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +1.61%
Growth +0.088%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.50%23.73%24.00%25.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.943.954.4028.57%25.37%25.32%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.63%3.75fair odd
EV +1.21%
Edge +0.318%
Kelly +0.432%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.77%26.43%26.66%27.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.473.503.8032.26%28.79%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Raków Częstochowa (Local): 49.39%; Korona Kielce (Visit): 23.97%; Draw: 26.63%. For Korona Kielce (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.17. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.48%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -11.09%E -6.16%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV +5.48%E +1.25%K +1.61%G +0.088% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -2.79%E -0.763%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -11.09%E -6.16%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV +5.48%E +1.25%K +1.61%G +0.088% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -2.79%E -0.763%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -12.08%E -6.79%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV +4.28%E +0.985%K +1.28%G +0.055% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.12%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 15:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -12.08%E -6.79%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV +4.28%E +0.985%K +1.28%G +0.055% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.12%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -12.08%E -6.79%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV +4.28%E +0.985%K +1.28%G +0.055% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.12%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -11.09%E -6.16%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV +3.08%E +0.717%K +0.935%G +0.029% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -2.79%E -0.763%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -12.08%E -6.79%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV +1.89%E +0.444%K +0.580%G +0.011% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -4.12%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.64%EV -14.06%E -8.08%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV +1.89%E +0.444%K +0.580%G +0.011% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -5.45%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.51%EV -4.18%E -2.15%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.81%EV +0.927%E +0.220%K +0.289%G +0.003% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.68%EV -7.58%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -7.64%E -4.08%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV +0.687%E +0.164%K +0.215%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.37%EV -13.56%E -7.75%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV +0.687%E +0.164%K +0.215%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -5.45%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -14.55%E -8.41%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV +0.687%E +0.164%K +0.215%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -18.50%E -11.21%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV +0.687%E +0.164%K +0.215%G +0.001% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV +1.21%E +0.318%K +0.432%G +0.005% | 10.7% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.66%EV -10.11%E -5.55%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -0.511%E -0.123%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.29%EV -6.65%E -3.52%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.01%EV -0.991%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.70%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -1.71%E -0.417%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -1.71%E -0.417%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 15:58 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -7.14%E -3.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.11%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -7.64%E -4.08%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.39%EV -5.07%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -8.91%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 15:58 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -4.67%E -2.42%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -5.31%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.73%EV -5.17%E -2.69%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -0.122%E -0.032%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 52.16%EV -19.49%E -11.96%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.08%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.76%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.11%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.11%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -13.56%E -7.75%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV +1.21%E +0.318%K +0.432%G +0.005% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -9.61%E -5.25%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -14.77%E -4.62%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -7.14%E -3.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.11%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.61%E -5.25%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -7.64%E -4.08%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.16%EV -8.13%E -4.37%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97%EV -10.60%E -5.86%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 24.42%EV -12.98%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.62%EV -11.31%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.12%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -7.64%E -4.08%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 15:58 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.09%E -6.16%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.59%EV -13.56%E -7.75%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -11.09%E -6.16%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -14.90%E -4.20%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -11.09%E -6.16%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -16.09%E -4.60%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -17.43%E -5.62%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.61% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43% | 1.3% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.81% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 1.4% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.81% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 1.4% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.47% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.21% | 2.1% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |