L’École des cotes

Raków Częstochowa v Korona Kielce

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 16:02 UTC

Score final : Raków Częstochowa 2–0 Korona Kielce

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Raków Częstochowa (Local)

Prévision 49.39%2.02cote équitable
EV -4.18%
Avantage -2.15%
Kelly -4.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.73%49.84%49.34%54.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.631.831.851.9461.35%54.59%54.05%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Korona Kielce (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.97%4.17cote équitable
EV +5.48%
Avantage +1.25%
Kelly +1.61%
Croissance +0.088%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.50%23.73%24.00%25.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.943.954.4028.57%25.37%25.32%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.63%3.75cote équitable
EV +1.21%
Avantage +0.318%
Kelly +0.432%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.77%26.43%26.66%27.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.473.503.8032.26%28.79%28.57%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -11.09%E -6.16%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV +5.48%E +1.25%K +1.61%G +0.088%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -2.79%E -0.763%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 15:59
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -11.09%E -6.16%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV +5.48%E +1.25%K +1.61%G +0.088%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -2.79%E -0.763%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 15:59
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -12.08%E -6.79%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV +4.28%E +0.985%K +1.28%G +0.055%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.12%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 15:55
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -12.08%E -6.79%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV +4.28%E +0.985%K +1.28%G +0.055%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.12%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 15:59
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -12.08%E -6.79%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV +4.28%E +0.985%K +1.28%G +0.055%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.12%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 15:59
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -11.09%E -6.16%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV +3.08%E +0.717%K +0.935%G +0.029%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -2.79%E -0.763%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 16:00
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -12.08%E -6.79%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV +1.89%E +0.444%K +0.580%G +0.011%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -4.12%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.64%EV -14.06%E -8.08%K -19.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV +1.89%E +0.444%K +0.580%G +0.011%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -5.45%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 15:59
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.51%EV -4.18%E -2.15%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.81%EV +0.927%E +0.220%K +0.289%G +0.003%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.68%EV -7.58%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 15:59
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -7.64%E -4.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV +0.687%E +0.164%K +0.215%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 15:59
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 52.37%EV -13.56%E -7.75%K -18.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV +0.687%E +0.164%K +0.215%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -5.45%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 16:00
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -14.55%E -8.41%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV +0.687%E +0.164%K +0.215%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 16:00
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -18.50%E -11.21%K -28.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV +0.687%E +0.164%K +0.215%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV +1.21%E +0.318%K +0.432%G +0.005%10.7%2026-05-08 16:00
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 50.66%EV -10.11%E -5.55%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -0.511%E -0.123%K -0.162%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 15:59
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.29%EV -6.65%E -3.52%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.01%EV -0.991%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.70%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:59
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -1.71%E -0.417%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 15:59
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -1.71%E -0.417%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 15:58
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 15:59
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -7.14%E -3.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.11%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 16:00
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 15:59
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 15:59
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -7.64%E -4.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.39%EV -5.07%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -8.91%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 15:58
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -4.67%E -2.42%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -5.31%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 15:59
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.73%EV -5.17%E -2.69%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -0.122%E -0.032%K -0.044%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 15:59
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 52.16%EV -19.49%E -11.96%K -30.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.08%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.76%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%17.6%2026-05-08 16:00
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 15:59
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 15:59
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.11%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 15:59
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.11%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 15:59
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -13.56%E -7.75%K -18.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV +1.21%E +0.318%K +0.432%G +0.005%9.8%2026-05-08 16:00
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -9.61%E -5.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -14.77%E -4.62%K -6.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 15:59
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -7.14%E -3.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.11%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 16:00
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.61%E -5.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 16:00
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -7.64%E -4.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 15:59
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.16%EV -8.13%E -4.37%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 15:59
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97%EV -10.60%E -5.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.42%EV -12.98%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.62%EV -11.31%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-08 15:54
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.12%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 15:59
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -7.64%E -4.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 15:58
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 15:59
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-08 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-08 16:00
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.09%E -6.16%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-08 15:59
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.59%EV -13.56%E -7.75%K -18.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-08 15:59
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -11.09%E -6.16%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -14.90%E -4.20%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-08 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -11.09%E -6.16%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -16.09%E -4.60%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -17.43%E -5.62%K -8.30%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-08 15:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-05-08 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.81%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-05-08 15:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.81%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-05-08 15:59
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-05-08 16:00
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.21%2.1%2026-05-08 15:59