A Escola das Odds

Raków Częstochowa v Korona Kielce

Início: 2026-05-08 16:02 UTC

Final: Raków Częstochowa 2–0 Korona Kielce

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Raków Częstochowa (Local)

Previsão 49.39%2.02odd justa
EV -4.18%
Vantagem -2.15%
Kelly -4.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.73%49.84%49.34%54.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.631.831.851.9461.35%54.59%54.05%51.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Korona Kielce (Visitante)

Previsão 23.97%4.17odd justa
EV +5.48%
Vantagem +1.25%
Kelly +1.61%
Crescimento +0.088%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.50%23.73%24.00%25.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.943.954.4028.57%25.37%25.32%22.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.63%3.75odd justa
EV +1.21%
Vantagem +0.318%
Kelly +0.432%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.77%26.43%26.66%27.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.473.503.8032.26%28.79%28.57%26.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -11.09%E -6.16%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV +5.48%E +1.25%K +1.61%G +0.088%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -2.79%E -0.763%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 15:59
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -11.09%E -6.16%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV +5.48%E +1.25%K +1.61%G +0.088%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -2.79%E -0.763%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 15:59
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -12.08%E -6.79%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV +4.28%E +0.985%K +1.28%G +0.055%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.12%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 15:55
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -12.08%E -6.79%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV +4.28%E +0.985%K +1.28%G +0.055%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.12%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 15:59
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -12.08%E -6.79%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV +4.28%E +0.985%K +1.28%G +0.055%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.12%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 15:59
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -11.09%E -6.16%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV +3.08%E +0.717%K +0.935%G +0.029%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -2.79%E -0.763%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 16:00
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -12.08%E -6.79%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV +1.89%E +0.444%K +0.580%G +0.011%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -4.12%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.64%EV -14.06%E -8.08%K -19.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV +1.89%E +0.444%K +0.580%G +0.011%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -5.45%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 15:59
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.51%EV -4.18%E -2.15%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.81%EV +0.927%E +0.220%K +0.289%G +0.003%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.68%EV -7.58%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 15:59
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -7.64%E -4.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV +0.687%E +0.164%K +0.215%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 15:59
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 52.37%EV -13.56%E -7.75%K -18.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV +0.687%E +0.164%K +0.215%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -5.45%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 16:00
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -14.55%E -8.41%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV +0.687%E +0.164%K +0.215%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 16:00
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -18.50%E -11.21%K -28.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV +0.687%E +0.164%K +0.215%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV +1.21%E +0.318%K +0.432%G +0.005%10.7%2026-05-08 16:00
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 50.66%EV -10.11%E -5.55%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -0.511%E -0.123%K -0.162%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 15:59
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.29%EV -6.65%E -3.52%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.01%EV -0.991%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.70%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 15:59
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -1.71%E -0.417%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 15:59
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -1.71%E -0.417%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 15:58
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 15:59
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -7.14%E -3.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.11%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 16:00
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 15:59
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 15:59
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -7.64%E -4.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.39%EV -5.07%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -8.91%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 15:58
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -4.67%E -2.42%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -5.31%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 15:59
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.73%EV -5.17%E -2.69%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -0.122%E -0.032%K -0.044%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 15:59
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 52.16%EV -19.49%E -11.96%K -30.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.08%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.76%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%17.6%2026-05-08 16:00
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 15:59
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 15:59
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.11%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 15:59
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.11%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 15:59
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -13.56%E -7.75%K -18.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV +1.21%E +0.318%K +0.432%G +0.005%9.8%2026-05-08 16:00
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -9.61%E -5.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -14.77%E -4.62%K -6.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 15:59
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -7.14%E -3.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.11%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 16:00
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.61%E -5.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 16:00
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -7.64%E -4.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 15:59
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.16%EV -8.13%E -4.37%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 15:59
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97%EV -10.60%E -5.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.42%EV -12.98%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.62%EV -11.31%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-08 15:54
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.12%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 15:59
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -7.64%E -4.08%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 15:58
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 15:59
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-08 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-08 16:00
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.09%E -6.16%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-08 15:59
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.59%EV -13.56%E -7.75%K -18.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-08 15:59
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -11.09%E -6.16%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -14.90%E -4.20%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-08 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -11.09%E -6.16%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -16.09%E -4.60%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -17.43%E -5.62%K -8.30%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-08 15:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-05-08 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.81%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-05-08 15:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.81%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-05-08 15:59
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-05-08 16:00
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.21%2.1%2026-05-08 15:59