La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Raków Częstochowa v Korona Kielce
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Raków Częstochowa (Local)
Predicción 49.39%2.02momio equitativo
EV -4.18%
Ventaja -2.15%
Kelly -4.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.73%49.84%49.34%54.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.631.831.851.9461.35%54.59%54.05%51.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Korona Kielce (Visitante)
Predicción 23.97%4.17momio equitativo
EV +5.48%
Ventaja +1.25%
Kelly +1.61%
Crecimiento +0.088%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.50%23.73%24.00%25.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.943.954.4028.57%25.37%25.32%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.63%3.75momio equitativo
EV +1.21%
Ventaja +0.318%
Kelly +0.432%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.77%26.43%26.66%27.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.473.503.8032.26%28.79%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -11.09%E -6.16%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV +5.48%E +1.25%K +1.61%G +0.088% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -2.79%E -0.763%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -11.09%E -6.16%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV +5.48%E +1.25%K +1.61%G +0.088% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -2.79%E -0.763%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -12.08%E -6.79%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV +4.28%E +0.985%K +1.28%G +0.055% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.12%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 15:55 |
| Casumo | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -12.08%E -6.79%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV +4.28%E +0.985%K +1.28%G +0.055% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.12%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -12.08%E -6.79%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV +4.28%E +0.985%K +1.28%G +0.055% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.12%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -11.09%E -6.16%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV +3.08%E +0.717%K +0.935%G +0.029% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -2.79%E -0.763%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -12.08%E -6.79%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV +1.89%E +0.444%K +0.580%G +0.011% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -4.12%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.64%EV -14.06%E -8.08%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV +1.89%E +0.444%K +0.580%G +0.011% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -5.45%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.51%EV -4.18%E -2.15%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.81%EV +0.927%E +0.220%K +0.289%G +0.003% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.68%EV -7.58%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -7.64%E -4.08%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV +0.687%E +0.164%K +0.215%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.37%EV -13.56%E -7.75%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV +0.687%E +0.164%K +0.215%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -5.45%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -14.55%E -8.41%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV +0.687%E +0.164%K +0.215%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| 888sport | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -18.50%E -11.21%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV +0.687%E +0.164%K +0.215%G +0.001% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV +1.21%E +0.318%K +0.432%G +0.005% | 10.7% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| BetUS | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.66%EV -10.11%E -5.55%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -0.511%E -0.123%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.29%EV -6.65%E -3.52%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.01%EV -0.991%E -0.240%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.70%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -1.71%E -0.417%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Bovada | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -1.71%E -0.417%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 15:58 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -7.14%E -3.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.11%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -7.64%E -4.08%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.39%EV -5.07%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -8.91%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 15:58 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -4.67%E -2.42%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -5.31%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.73%EV -5.17%E -2.69%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -0.122%E -0.032%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 52.16%EV -19.49%E -11.96%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.08%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.76%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.66%E -2.96%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.11%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.11%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -13.56%E -7.75%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV +1.21%E +0.318%K +0.432%G +0.005% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -9.61%E -5.25%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -14.77%E -4.62%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -7.14%E -3.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.11%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.61%E -5.25%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -7.64%E -4.08%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.16%EV -8.13%E -4.37%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97%EV -10.60%E -5.86%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 24.42%EV -12.98%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.62%EV -11.31%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-08 15:54 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.15%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.12%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -7.64%E -4.08%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 15:58 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -8.62%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.09%E -6.16%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.59%EV -13.56%E -7.75%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -11.09%E -6.16%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -14.90%E -4.20%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -11.09%E -6.16%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -16.09%E -4.60%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -17.43%E -5.62%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.61% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43% | 1.3% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.81% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 1.4% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.81% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 1.4% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Matchbook | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-05-08 16:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.47% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.21% | 2.1% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |