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Raków Częstochowa v Jagiellonia Białystok
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Raków Częstochowa (Local)
Prediction 46.19%2.17fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.41%46.12%46.27%47.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.981.972.1053.19%50.60%50.76%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jagiellonia Białystok (Visit)
Prediction 27.19%3.68fair odd
EV +0.319%
Edge +0.086%
Kelly +0.119%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.77%27.28%27.08%28.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.353.6932.26%29.78%29.85%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.62%3.76fair odd
EV -0.158%
Edge -0.042%
Kelly -0.057%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.15%26.59%26.65%27.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.483.453.7530.77%28.74%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Raków Częstochowa (Local): 46.19%; Jagiellonia Białystok (Visit): 27.19%; Draw: 26.62%. For Jagiellonia Białystok (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.69, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.319%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.30%EV -3.93%E -1.89%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.10%EV +0.319%E +0.086%K +0.119%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.60%EV -7.08%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.70%E -3.32%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -0.768%E -0.211%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 12:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.70%E -3.32%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -0.768%E -0.211%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 12:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.70%E -3.32%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -0.768%E -0.211%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 12:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 12:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -9.93%E -5.09%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.58%EV -3.62%E -1.000%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -0.158%E -0.042%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -1.49%E -0.402%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 12:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.25%EV -8.08%E -4.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 12:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 12:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.22%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.10%EV -8.11%E -2.40%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.68%EV -5.22%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -9.47%E -4.83%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 12:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -10.86%E -5.62%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 12:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -12.70%E -6.72%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.60%EV -9.47%E -4.83%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -5.48%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 12:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.78%E -6.17%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 12:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.78%E -6.17%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -13.17%E -7.00%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -13.17%E -7.00%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -13.17%E -7.00%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -13.17%E -7.00%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.48%EV -12.24%E -6.44%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-30 12:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.52%EV -12.24%E -6.44%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.94%EV -10.83%E -3.30%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.54%EV -11.34%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-30 12:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 12:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 12:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 12:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -11.78%E -6.17%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 12:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -13.17%E -7.00%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 12:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-30 12:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -6.70%E -3.32%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -10.81%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.93%E -5.09%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -10.39%E -5.36%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 12:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.78%EV -11.78%E -6.17%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.90%EV -13.47%E -4.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -9.47%E -4.83%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -14.36%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 12:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.72%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 12:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.72%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 12:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.80% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.03% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 1.5% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.03% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 1.5% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.03% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 1.5% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.04% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.04% | 2.7% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |