Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.69
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Raków Częstochowa (Local): 46.19%; Jagiellonia Białystok (Visitante): 27.19%; Empate: 26.62%. Para Jagiellonia Białystok (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.68. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.69, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.319%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.30%EV -3.93%E -1.89%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.10%EV +0.319%E +0.086%K +0.119%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.60%EV -7.08%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.70%E -3.32%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -0.768%E -0.211%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 12:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.70%E -3.32%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -0.768%E -0.211%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 12:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.70%E -3.32%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -0.768%E -0.211%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 12:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 12:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -9.93%E -5.09%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.58%EV -3.62%E -1.000%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -0.158%E -0.042%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -1.49%E -0.402%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 12:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.25%EV -8.08%E -4.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 12:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 12:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.22%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.10%EV -8.11%E -2.40%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.68%EV -5.22%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -9.47%E -4.83%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 12:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -10.86%E -5.62%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 12:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -12.70%E -6.72%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.60%EV -9.47%E -4.83%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -5.48%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 12:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.78%E -6.17%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 12:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.78%E -6.17%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -13.17%E -7.00%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -13.17%E -7.00%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -13.17%E -7.00%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -13.17%E -7.00%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.48%EV -12.24%E -6.44%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-30 12:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.52%EV -12.24%E -6.44%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.94%EV -10.83%E -3.30%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.54%EV -11.34%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-30 12:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 12:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 12:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 12:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -11.78%E -6.17%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 12:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -13.17%E -7.00%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 12:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-30 12:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -6.70%E -3.32%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -10.81%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.93%E -5.09%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -10.39%E -5.36%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 12:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.78%EV -11.78%E -6.17%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.90%EV -13.47%E -4.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -9.47%E -4.83%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -14.36%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 12:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.72%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 12:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.72%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 12:39 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.80% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.03% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 1.5% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.03% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 1.5% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.03% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 1.5% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.04% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.04% | 2.7% | 2026-08-30 12:40 |