Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Raków Częstochowa v Jagiellonia Białystok

Início: 2026-08-30 12:45 UTC

Final: Raków Częstochowa 2–5 Jagiellonia Białystok

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Raków Częstochowa (Local)

Previsão 46.19%2.17odd justa
EV -3.00%
Vantagem -1.43%
Kelly -2.73%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.41%46.12%46.27%47.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.881.981.972.1053.19%50.60%50.76%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jagiellonia Białystok (Visitante)

Previsão 27.19%3.68odd justa
EV +0.319%
Vantagem +0.086%
Kelly +0.119%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.77%27.28%27.08%28.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.363.353.6932.26%29.78%29.85%27.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.62%3.76odd justa
EV -0.158%
Vantagem -0.042%
Kelly -0.057%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.15%26.59%26.65%27.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.483.453.7530.77%28.74%28.99%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Raków Częstochowa (Local): 46.19%; Jagiellonia Białystok (Visitante): 27.19%; Empate: 26.62%. Para Jagiellonia Białystok (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.68. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.69, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.319%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.30%EV -3.93%E -1.89%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.10%EV +0.319%E +0.086%K +0.119%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.60%EV -7.08%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 12:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.70%E -3.32%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -0.768%E -0.211%K -0.290%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 12:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.70%E -3.32%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -0.768%E -0.211%K -0.290%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 12:39
BetUS🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.70%E -3.32%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -0.768%E -0.211%K -0.290%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 12:39
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 12:35
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 12:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 12:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 12:30
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 12:30
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 12:30
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 12:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 12:24
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -9.93%E -5.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.58%EV -3.62%E -1.000%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 12:30
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -0.158%E -0.042%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 12:40
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -1.49%E -0.402%K -0.552%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 12:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.25%EV -8.08%E -4.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 12:30
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 12:25
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 12:25
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 12:35
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 12:30
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.22%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.10%EV -8.11%E -2.40%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.68%EV -5.22%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 12:35
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -9.47%E -4.83%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 12:20
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -10.86%E -5.62%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 12:15
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -12.70%E -6.72%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 12:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.60%EV -9.47%E -4.83%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -5.48%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 12:25
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.78%E -6.17%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.78%E -6.17%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 12:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -13.17%E -7.00%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 12:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -13.17%E -7.00%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 12:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -13.17%E -7.00%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -13.17%E -7.00%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 12:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.48%EV -12.24%E -6.44%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-30 12:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.52%EV -12.24%E -6.44%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.94%EV -10.83%E -3.30%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.54%EV -11.34%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 12:24
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 12:39
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 12:35
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 12:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 12:39
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -11.78%E -6.17%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -13.17%E -7.00%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-30 12:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 12:30
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 12:39
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 12:39
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -6.70%E -3.32%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -10.81%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 12:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.93%E -5.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 12:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -10.39%E -5.36%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 12:25
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.78%EV -11.78%E -6.17%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.90%EV -13.47%E -4.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-30 12:35
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -9.47%E -4.83%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -14.36%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 12:39
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.72%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.72%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 12:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.80%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-08-30 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.03%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-08-30 12:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.03%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-08-30 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.03%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-08-30 12:35
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-08-30 12:40
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.04%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.04%2.7%2026-08-30 12:40