StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Raków Częstochowa v Jagiellonia Białystok

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-30 12:45 UTC

Endstand: Raków Częstochowa 2–5 Jagiellonia Białystok

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Raków Częstochowa (Heim)

Prognose 46.19%2.17faire Quote
EV -3.00%
Vorteil -1.43%
Kelly -2.73%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
44.41%46.12%46.27%47.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.881.981.972.1053.19%50.60%50.76%47.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Jagiellonia Białystok (Auswärts)

Prognose 27.19%3.68faire Quote
EV +0.319%
Vorteil +0.086%
Kelly +0.119%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.69

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.77%27.28%27.08%28.89%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.103.363.353.6932.26%29.78%29.85%27.10%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.62%3.76faire Quote
EV -0.158%
Vorteil -0.042%
Kelly -0.057%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.15%26.59%26.65%27.83%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.253.483.453.7530.77%28.74%28.99%26.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Raków Częstochowa (Heim): 46.19%; Jagiellonia Białystok (Auswärts): 27.19%; Unentschieden: 26.62%. Für Jagiellonia Białystok (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.68. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.69 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.319%.

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.30%EV -3.93%E -1.89%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.10%EV +0.319%E +0.086%K +0.119%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.60%EV -7.08%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 12:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.70%E -3.32%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -0.768%E -0.211%K -0.290%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 12:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.70%E -3.32%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -0.768%E -0.211%K -0.290%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 12:39
BetUS🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.70%E -3.32%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -0.768%E -0.211%K -0.290%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 12:39
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 12:35
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 12:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 12:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 12:30
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 12:30
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 12:30
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 12:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 12:24
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -9.93%E -5.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.58%EV -3.62%E -1.000%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 12:30
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -0.158%E -0.042%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 12:40
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -1.49%E -0.402%K -0.552%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 12:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.25%EV -8.08%E -4.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 12:30
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 12:25
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 12:25
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 12:35
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 12:30
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.22%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.10%EV -8.11%E -2.40%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.68%EV -5.22%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 12:35
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -9.47%E -4.83%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 12:20
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -10.86%E -5.62%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 12:15
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -12.70%E -6.72%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 12:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.60%EV -9.47%E -4.83%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -5.48%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 12:25
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.78%E -6.17%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.78%E -6.17%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 12:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -13.17%E -7.00%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 12:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -13.17%E -7.00%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 12:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -13.17%E -7.00%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -13.17%E -7.00%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 12:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.48%EV -12.24%E -6.44%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-30 12:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.52%EV -12.24%E -6.44%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.94%EV -10.83%E -3.30%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.54%EV -11.34%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 12:24
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 12:39
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 12:35
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 12:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 12:39
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -11.78%E -6.17%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -13.17%E -7.00%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-30 12:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 12:30
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 12:39
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 12:39
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -6.70%E -3.32%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -10.81%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 12:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.93%E -5.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 12:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -10.39%E -5.36%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 12:25
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.78%EV -11.78%E -6.17%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.90%EV -13.47%E -4.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-30 12:35
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -9.47%E -4.83%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -14.36%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 12:39
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.72%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.72%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 12:39
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.80%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-08-30 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.03%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-08-30 12:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.03%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-08-30 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.03%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-08-30 12:35
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-08-30 12:40
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.04%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.04%2.7%2026-08-30 12:40